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Santa Clara vs Gil Vicente: Primeira Liga, Nov 8, 2026

Primeira Liga
HomeSanta Clara7315OVR
Kick-off 9:30 AM CT
AwayGil Vicente6714OVR

Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 9:30 AM CT · Estådio de São Miguel, Ponta Delgada, Portugal

Team comparison

Ratings

7315OVRHome

Santa Clara

ATT
6914
DEF
8918
FRM
6213
ELO
6413
  • 6914Attack4910
  • 8918Defence8517
  • 6213Form7615
  • 6413Elo strength6012
  • 7315Overall6714
ATTDEFFRMELO
Santa Clara Gil Vicente
6714OVRAway

Gil Vicente

ATT
4910
DEF
8517
FRM
7615
ELO
6012

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games Ă· 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) Ă· 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating Ă· 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Confirmed lineups

Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Santa Clara (4th, 21 pts from 10) host Gil Vicente (7th, 15 pts from 10) in the Primeira Liga table as it stands. Santa Clara have scored 15 and conceded 6 in 10 Primeira Liga games (1.5 and 0.6 per game). Gil Vicente have scored 8 and conceded 7 in 10 Primeira Liga games (0.8 and 0.7 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Santa Clara DWLLW, Gil Vicente WWWLD. In the last 5 meetings on record, Santa Clara won 4, Gil Vicente won 1 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 0.9–0.6. Santa Clara are clear favorites: Santa Clara 42%, draw 37%, Gil Vicente 22%. The single most likely score is 0–0, but even that only has a 24% chance. Elo ratings (Santa Clara 1535, Gil Vicente 1504) give Santa Clara an expected score of 63%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

Santa Clara winDrawGil Vicente win

Expected goals (model): Santa Clara 0.89 · Gil Vicente 0.55 · most likely score 0–0 (24%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.29 / away 1.39 goals per game from 90 Primeira Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Santa Clara expected score 63%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

Santa ClaraGil Vicente
4thTable position7th
21 (10)Points (played)15 (10)
6-3-1W-D-L4-3-3
1.50Goals for / game*0.80
0.60Goals against / game*0.70
DWLLWForm, last 5 (all comps)WWWLD
1535Elo rating (pre-match)1504
1.09 / 0.58Attack / defence index0.69 / 0.63

Table: current Primeira Liga standings. *Primeira Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Santa Clara 4 wins · 0 draws · Gil Vicente 1 win

  • Santa Clara 1–0 Gil Vicente
  • Gil Vicente 1–0 Santa Clara
  • Gil Vicente 0–1 Santa Clara
  • Santa Clara 2–1 Gil Vicente
  • Santa Clara 3–2 Gil Vicente