The Coefficient7215OVRHome
Heerenveen
- ATT
- 6213
- DEF
- 8016
- FRM
- 8517
- ELO
- 6413
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Heerenveen vs Feyenoord Rotterdam: Eredivisie, Nov 8, 2026
EredivisieHomeHeerenveen7215OVR
Kick-off 5:15 AM CT
AwayFeyenoord Rotterdam7515OVR
Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 5:15 AM CT · Abe Lenstra Stadion, Heerenveen, Netherlands
Team comparison
Ratings
- 6213Attack8116
- 8016Defence8317
- 8517Form5311
- 6413Elo strength7415
- 7215Overall7515
7515OVRAway
Feyenoord Rotterdam
- ATT
- 8116
- DEF
- 8317
- FRM
- 5311
- ELO
- 7415
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Confirmed lineups
Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Heerenveen (7th, 18 pts from 11) host Feyenoord (1st, 25 pts from 11) in the Eredivisie table as it stands. Heerenveen have scored 19 and conceded 13 in 11 Eredivisie games (1.7 and 1.2 per game). Feyenoord have scored 33 and conceded 12 in 11 Eredivisie games (3.0 and 1.1 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Heerenveen LWWWW, Feyenoord WLDDL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Heerenveen won 2, Feyenoord won 2 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.1–2.0. Feyenoord are clear favorites: Heerenveen 20%, draw 21%, Feyenoord 59%. The single most likely score is 1–2, but even that only has a 10% chance. Elo ratings (Heerenveen 1540, Feyenoord 1625) give Heerenveen an expected score of 46%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Heerenveen 1.11 · Feyenoord 2.04 · most likely score 1–2 (10%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.81 / away 2.01 goals per game from 99 Eredivisie games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Heerenveen expected score 46%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Heerenveen | Feyenoord | |
|---|---|---|
| 7th | Table position | 1st |
| 18 (11) | Points (played) | 25 (11) |
| 5-3-3 | W-D-L | 7-4-0 |
| 1.73 | Goals for / game* | 3.00 |
| 1.18 | Goals against / game* | 1.09 |
| LWWWW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WLDDL |
| 1540 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1625 |
| 0.93 / 0.70 | Attack / defence index | 1.45 / 0.66 |
Table: current Eredivisie standings. *Eredivisie games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Heerenveen 2 wins · 1 draw · Feyenoord 2 wins
- Heerenveen 2–2 Feyenoord Rotterdam
- Feyenoord Rotterdam 2–3 Heerenveen
- Feyenoord Rotterdam 1–0 Heerenveen
- Heerenveen 2–0 Feyenoord Rotterdam
- Feyenoord Rotterdam 3–0 Heerenveen