SC Cambuur
- ATT
- 6814
- DEF
- 6313
- FRM
- 9018
- ELO
- 6012
Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 9:45 AM CT · Kooi Stadium, Leeuwarden, Netherlands
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Cambuur (9th, 15 pts from 11) host PSV (3rd, 23 pts from 11) in the Eredivisie table as it stands. Cambuur have scored 23 and conceded 22 in 11 Eredivisie games (2.1 and 2.0 per game). PSV have scored 35 and conceded 13 in 11 Eredivisie games (3.2 and 1.2 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Cambuur WDWWW, PSV LLWDW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Cambuur won 1, PSV won 4 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.4–3.2. PSV are clear favorites: Cambuur 13%, draw 14%, PSV 73%. The single most likely score is 1–3, but even that only has a 8% chance. Elo ratings (Cambuur 1500, PSV 1709) give Cambuur an expected score of 30%, which agrees with the goals model.
Expected goals (model): Cambuur 1.36 · PSV 3.18 · most likely score 1–3 (8%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.81 / away 2.01 goals per game from 99 Eredivisie games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Cambuur expected score 30%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
| Cambuur | PSV | |
|---|---|---|
| 9th | Table position | 3rd |
| 15 (11) | Points (played) | 23 (11) |
| 4-3-4 | W-D-L | 7-2-2 |
| 2.09 | Goals for / game* | 3.18 |
| 2.00 | Goals against / game* | 1.18 |
| WDWWW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | LLWDW |
| 1500 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1709 |
| 1.07 / 1.04 | Attack / defence index | 1.52 / 0.70 |
Table: current Eredivisie standings. *Eredivisie games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Cambuur 1 win · 0 draws · PSV 4 wins