The Coefficient7215OVRHome
Besiktas
- ATT
- 7515
- DEF
- 7215
- FRM
- 6714
- ELO
- 7515
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Besiktas vs Genclerbirligi: Turkish Süper Lig, Nov 8, 2026
Turkish Süper LigHomeBesiktas7215OVR
Kick-off 12:00 PM CT
AwayGenclerbirligi5611OVR
Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 12:00 PM CT · Vodafone Park, Istanbul, Türkiye
Team comparison
Ratings
- 7515Attack5812
- 7215Defence5912
- 6714Form4810
- 7515Elo strength5511
- 7215Overall5611
5611OVRAway
Genclerbirligi
- ATT
- 5812
- DEF
- 5912
- FRM
- 4810
- ELO
- 5511
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Confirmed lineups
Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Besiktas (4th, 19 pts from 10) host Genclerbirli (14th, 11 pts from 10) in the Süper Lig table as it stands. Besiktas have scored 20 and conceded 12 in 10 Süper Lig games (2.0 and 1.2 per game). Genclerbirli have scored 12 and conceded 18 in 10 Süper Lig games (1.2 and 1.8 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Besiktas WLDWD, Genclerbirli LDLLW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Besiktas won 3, Genclerbirli won 2 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 2.5–0.9. Besiktas are clear favorites: Besiktas 72%, draw 16%, Genclerbirli 11%. The single most likely score is 2–0, but even that only has a 10% chance. Elo ratings (Besiktas 1638, Genclerbirli 1453) give Besiktas an expected score of 80%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Besiktas 2.51 · Genclerbirli 0.91 · most likely score 2–0 (10%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.73 / away 1.27 goals per game from 90 Süper Lig games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Besiktas expected score 80%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Besiktas | Genclerbirli | |
|---|---|---|
| 4th | Table position | 14th |
| 19 (10) | Points (played) | 11 (10) |
| 6-1-3 | W-D-L | 3-2-5 |
| 2.00 | Goals for / game* | 1.20 |
| 1.20 | Goals against / game* | 1.80 |
| WLDWD | Form, last 5 (all comps) | LDLLW |
| 1638 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1453 |
| 1.26 / 0.85 | Attack / defence index | 0.85 / 1.15 |
Table: current Süper Lig standings. *Süper Lig games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Besiktas 3 wins · 0 draws · Genclerbirli 2 wins
- Genclerbirligi 0–2 Besiktas
- Besiktas 1–2 Genclerbirligi
- Besiktas 2–0 Genclerbirligi
- Genclerbirligi 0–3 Besiktas
- Besiktas 0–1 Genclerbirligi