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Le Mans vs AS Monaco: Ligue 1, Nov 8, 2026

Ligue 1
HomeLe Mans5211OVR
Kick-off 10:15 AM CT
AwayAS Monaco6714OVR

Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 10:15 AM CT · Stade Marie-Marvingt, Le Mans, France

Team comparison

Ratings

5211OVRHome

Le Mans

ATT
5812
DEF
5611
FRM
357
ELO
5611
  • 5812Attack6112
  • 5611Defence7515
  • 357Form6213
  • 5611Elo strength7114
  • 5211Overall6714
ATTDEFFRMELO
Le Mans Monaco
6714OVRAway

AS Monaco

ATT
6112
DEF
7515
FRM
6213
ELO
7114

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Confirmed lineups

Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Le Mans (17th, 7 pts from 9) host Monaco (7th, 15 pts from 9) in the Ligue 1 table as it stands. Le Mans have scored 11 and conceded 18 in 9 Ligue 1 games (1.2 and 2.0 per game). Monaco have scored 12 and conceded 10 in 9 Ligue 1 games (1.3 and 1.1 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Le Mans LLLDL, Monaco WLWDL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Le Mans won 0, Monaco won 3 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.2–1.5. Monaco are slight favorites: Le Mans 29%, draw 26%, Monaco 45%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 12% chance. Elo ratings (Le Mans 1464, Monaco 1595) give Le Mans an expected score of 40%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

Le Mans winDrawMonaco win

Expected goals (model): Le Mans 1.16 · Monaco 1.50 · most likely score 1–1 (12%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.70 / away 1.33 goals per game from 81 Ligue 1 games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Le Mans expected score 40%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

Le MansMonaco
17thTable position7th
7 (9)Points (played)15 (9)
1-4-4W-D-L4-3-2
1.22Goals for / game*1.33
2.00Goals against / game*1.11
LLLDLForm, last 5 (all comps)WLWDL
1464Elo rating (pre-match)1595
0.85 / 1.24Attack / defence index0.91 / 0.80

Table: current Ligue 1 standings. *Ligue 1 games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Le Mans 0 wins · 2 draws · Monaco 3 wins

  • AS Monaco 2–1 Le Mans
  • Le Mans 2–3 AS Monaco
  • Le Mans 0–1 AS Monaco
  • AS Monaco 2–2 Le Mans
  • AS Monaco 1–1 Le Mans