The Coefficient5211OVRHome
Angers
- ATT
- 5211
- DEF
- 5812
- FRM
- 4810
- ELO
- 4910
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Angers vs Nice: Ligue 1, Nov 8, 2026
Ligue 1HomeAngers5211OVR
Kick-off 10:15 AM CT
AwayNice6814OVR
Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 10:15 AM CT · Stade Raymond Kopa, Angers, France
Team comparison
Ratings
- 5211Attack6313
- 5812Defence6914
- 4810Form8517
- 4910Elo strength5712
- 5211Overall6814
6814OVRAway
Nice
- ATT
- 6313
- DEF
- 6914
- FRM
- 8517
- ELO
- 5712
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Confirmed lineups
Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Angers (15th, 8 pts from 9) host Nice (8th, 14 pts from 9) in the Ligue 1 table as it stands. Angers have scored 9 and conceded 17 in 9 Ligue 1 games (1.0 and 1.9 per game). Nice have scored 13 and conceded 12 in 9 Ligue 1 games (1.4 and 1.3 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Angers WLLDL, Nice WWLWW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Angers won 1, Nice won 3 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.2–1.5. Nice are slight favorites: Angers 29%, draw 25%, Nice 46%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 12% chance. Elo ratings (Angers 1401, Nice 1471) give Angers an expected score of 49%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Angers 1.15 · Nice 1.52 · most likely score 1–1 (12%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.70 / away 1.33 goals per game from 81 Ligue 1 games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Angers expected score 49%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Angers | Nice | |
|---|---|---|
| 15th | Table position | 8th |
| 8 (9) | Points (played) | 14 (9) |
| 2-2-5 | W-D-L | 4-2-3 |
| 1.00 | Goals for / game* | 1.44 |
| 1.89 | Goals against / game* | 1.33 |
| WLLDL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WWLWW |
| 1401 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1471 |
| 0.74 / 1.18 | Attack / defence index | 0.96 / 0.91 |
Table: current Ligue 1 standings. *Ligue 1 games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Angers 1 win · 1 draw · Nice 3 wins
- Angers 0–2 Nice
- Nice 0–1 Angers
- Nice 2–1 Angers
- Angers 1–4 Nice
- Angers 1–1 Nice