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Villarreal vs Getafe: La Liga, Nov 8, 2026

La Liga
HomeVillarreal6413OVR
Kick-off 11:30 AM CT
AwayGetafe5611OVR

Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 11:30 AM CT · Estadio de la Cerámica, Villarreal, Spain

Team comparison

Ratings

6413OVRHome

Villarreal

ATT
6213
DEF
6814
FRM
5812
ELO
6513
  • 6213Attack428
  • 6814Defence6613
  • 5812Form6213
  • 6513Elo strength5611
  • 6413Overall5611
ATTDEFFRMELO
Villarreal Getafe
5611OVRAway

Getafe

ATT
428
DEF
6613
FRM
6213
ELO
5611

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Confirmed lineups

Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Villarreal (9th, 12 pts from 11) host Getafe (13th, 12 pts from 11) in the La Liga table as it stands. Villarreal have scored 15 and conceded 15 in 11 La Liga games (1.4 and 1.4 per game). Getafe have scored 8 and conceded 16 in 11 La Liga games (0.7 and 1.5 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Villarreal LWWLL, Getafe DLLWW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Villarreal won 2, Getafe won 1 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.5–0.7. Villarreal are clear favorites: Villarreal 57%, draw 26%, Getafe 17%. The single most likely score is 1–0, but even that only has a 16% chance. Elo ratings (Villarreal 1548, Getafe 1464) give Villarreal an expected score of 70%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

Villarreal winDrawGetafe win

Expected goals (model): Villarreal 1.54 · Getafe 0.72 · most likely score 1–0 (16%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.71 / away 1.30 goals per game from 109 La Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Villarreal expected score 70%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

VillarrealGetafe
9thTable position13th
12 (11)Points (played)12 (11)
3-3-5W-D-L3-3-5
1.36Goals for / game*0.73
1.36Goals against / game*1.45
LWWLLForm, last 5 (all comps)DLLWW
1548Elo rating (pre-match)1464
0.93 / 0.93Attack / defence index0.59 / 0.97

Table: current La Liga standings. *La Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Villarreal 2 wins · 2 draws · Getafe 1 win

  • Getafe 2–1 Villarreal
  • Villarreal 2–0 Getafe
  • Getafe 1–2 Villarreal
  • Villarreal 1–1 Getafe
  • Villarreal 1–1 Getafe