The Coefficient5712OVRHome
Ipswich Town
- ATT
- 7014
- DEF
- 5211
- FRM
- 5311
- ELO
- 4810
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Ipswich Town vs AFC Bournemouth: Premier League, Nov 8, 2026
Premier LeagueHomeIpswich Town5712OVR
Kick-off 8:00 AM CT
AwayAFC Bournemouth7515OVR
Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 8:00 AM CT · Portman Road, Ipswich, England
Team comparison
Ratings
- 7014Attack7014
- 5211Defence6313
- 5311Form9920
- 4810Elo strength7515
- 5712Overall7515
7515OVRAway
AFC Bournemouth
- ATT
- 7014
- DEF
- 6313
- FRM
- 9920
- ELO
- 7515
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Confirmed lineups
Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Ipswich (14th, 11 pts from 9) host Bournemouth (8th, 12 pts from 9) in the Premier League table as it stands. Ipswich have scored 14 and conceded 18 in 9 Premier League games (1.6 and 2.0 per game). Bournemouth have scored 14 and conceded 13 in 9 Premier League games (1.6 and 1.4 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Ipswich LWLDD, Bournemouth WWWWW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Ipswich won 1, Bournemouth won 1 and 3 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.8–1.8. This looks evenly matched: Ipswich 38%, draw 22%, Bournemouth 40%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 9% chance. Elo ratings (Ipswich 1392, Bournemouth 1633) give Ipswich an expected score of 26%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Ipswich 1.76 · Bournemouth 1.82 · most likely score 1–1 (9%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.50 / away 1.20 goals per game from 90 Premier League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Ipswich expected score 26%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Ipswich | Bournemouth | |
|---|---|---|
| 14th | Table position | 8th |
| 11 (9) | Points (played) | 12 (9) |
| 3-2-4 | W-D-L | 3-3-3 |
| 1.56 | Goals for / game* | 1.56 |
| 2.00 | Goals against / game* | 1.44 |
| LWLDD | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WWWWW |
| 1392 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1633 |
| 1.11 / 1.36 | Attack / defence index | 1.11 / 1.05 |
Table: current Premier League standings. *Premier League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Ipswich 1 win · 3 draws · Bournemouth 1 win
- AFC Bournemouth 1–2 Ipswich Town
- Ipswich Town 1–2 AFC Bournemouth
- Ipswich Town 1–1 AFC Bournemouth
- AFC Bournemouth 2–2 Ipswich Town
- Ipswich Town 2–2 AFC Bournemouth