The Coefficient8016OVRHome
Internazionale
- ATT
- 8217
- DEF
- 7215
- FRM
- 8517
- ELO
- 8617
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Internazionale vs Como: Serie A, Nov 8, 2026
Serie AHomeInternazionale8016OVR
Kick-off 11:00 AM CT
AwayComo8217OVR
Sunday, November 8, 2026 · 11:00 AM CT · San Siro, Milano, Italy
Team comparison
Ratings
- 8217Attack6914
- 7215Defence8617
- 8517Form9920
- 8617Elo strength8116
- 8016Overall8217
8217OVRAway
Como
- ATT
- 6914
- DEF
- 8617
- FRM
- 9920
- ELO
- 8116
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Confirmed lineups
Lineups expected ~1h before kickoff.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Inter Milan (2nd, 25 pts from 10) host Como (4th, 23 pts from 10) in the Serie A table as it stands. Inter Milan have scored 26 and conceded 13 in 10 Serie A games (2.6 and 1.3 per game). Como have scored 18 and conceded 8 in 10 Serie A games (1.8 and 0.8 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Inter Milan WWWLW, Como WWWWW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Inter Milan won 4, Como won 0 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.5–1.5. This looks evenly matched: Inter Milan 38%, draw 24%, Como 37%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 11% chance. Elo ratings (Inter Milan 1735, Como 1692) give Inter Milan an expected score of 64%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Inter Milan 1.49 · Como 1.48 · most likely score 1–1 (11%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.62 / away 1.56 goals per game from 100 Serie A games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Inter Milan expected score 64%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Inter Milan | Como | |
|---|---|---|
| 2nd | Table position | 4th |
| 25 (10) | Points (played) | 23 (10) |
| 8-1-1 | W-D-L | 7-2-1 |
| 2.60 | Goals for / game* | 1.80 |
| 1.30 | Goals against / game* | 0.80 |
| WWWLW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WWWWW |
| 1735 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1692 |
| 1.49 / 0.86 | Attack / defence index | 1.10 / 0.62 |
Table: current Serie A standings. *Serie A games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Inter Milan 4 wins · 1 draw · Como 0 wins
- Internazionale 3–2 Como
- Como 3–4 Internazionale
- Como 0–0 Internazionale
- Internazionale 4–0 Como
- Como 0–2 Internazionale