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Torino vs Lecce: Serie A, Nov 7, 2026

Serie A
HomeTorino6613OVR
Kick-off 8:00 AM CT
AwayLecce5211OVR

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 8:00 AM CT · Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Torino, Italy

Team comparison

Ratings

6613OVRHome

Torino

ATT
6413
DEF
6613
FRM
7615
ELO
5812
  • 6413Attack5411
  • 6613Defence5611
  • 7615Form449
  • 5812Elo strength5110
  • 6613Overall5211
ATTDEFFRMELO
Torino Lecce
5211OVRAway

Lecce

ATT
5411
DEF
5611
FRM
449
ELO
5110

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Torino (10th, 13 pts from 9) host Lecce (14th, 9 pts from 9) in the Serie A table as it stands. Torino have scored 14 and conceded 14 in 9 Serie A games (1.6 and 1.6 per game). Lecce have scored 10 and conceded 19 in 9 Serie A games (1.1 and 2.1 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Torino DWWWL, Lecce LLWLL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Torino won 2, Lecce won 2 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 2.0–1.2. Torino are clear favorites: Torino 56%, draw 22%, Lecce 22%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 10% chance. Elo ratings (Torino 1482, Lecce 1420) give Torino an expected score of 67%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

Torino winDrawLecce win

Expected goals (model): Torino 1.98 · Lecce 1.18 · most likely score 1–1 (10%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.63 / away 1.57 goals per game from 93 Serie A games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Torino expected score 67%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

TorinoLecce
10thTable position14th
13 (9)Points (played)9 (9)
4-1-4W-D-L3-0-6
1.56Goals for / game*1.11
1.56Goals against / game*2.11
DWWWLForm, last 5 (all comps)LLWLL
1482Elo rating (pre-match)1420
0.98 / 0.98Attack / defence index0.77 / 1.24

Table: current Serie A standings. *Serie A games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Torino 2 wins · 1 draw · Lecce 2 wins

  • Torino 1–0 Lecce
  • Lecce 2–1 Torino
  • Lecce 1–0 Torino
  • Torino 0–0 Lecce
  • Torino 2–0 Lecce