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VfB Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen: Bundesliga, Nov 7, 2026

Bundesliga
HomeVfB Stuttgart6513OVR
Kick-off 11:30 AM CT
AwayWerder Bremen6613OVR

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 11:30 AM CT · MHPArena, Stuttgart, Germany

Team comparison

Ratings

6513OVRHome

VfB Stuttgart

ATT
6513
DEF
6313
FRM
6213
ELO
7315
  • 6513Attack7114
  • 6313Defence6513
  • 6213Form6714
  • 7315Elo strength5812
  • 6513Overall6613
ATTDEFFRMELO
Stuttgart Bremen
6613OVRAway

Werder Bremen

ATT
7114
DEF
6513
FRM
6714
ELO
5812

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Stuttgart (10th, 9 pts from 8) host Bremen (5th, 15 pts from 8) in the Bundesliga table as it stands. Stuttgart have scored 14 and conceded 15 in 8 Bundesliga games (1.8 and 1.9 per game). Bremen have scored 17 and conceded 14 in 8 Bundesliga games (2.1 and 1.8 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Stuttgart LDLWW, Bremen DDWLW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Stuttgart won 1, Bremen won 2 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 2.1–1.7. Stuttgart are slight favorites: Stuttgart 48%, draw 21%, Bremen 31%. The single most likely score is 2–1, but even that only has a 8% chance. Elo ratings (Stuttgart 1614, Bremen 1481) give Stuttgart an expected score of 75%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

Stuttgart winDrawBremen win

Expected goals (model): Stuttgart 2.12 · Bremen 1.67 · most likely score 2–1 (8%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 2.13 / away 1.39 goals per game from 70 Bundesliga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Stuttgart expected score 75%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

StuttgartBremen
10thTable position5th
9 (8)Points (played)15 (8)
3-0-5W-D-L4-3-1
1.75Goals for / game*2.12
1.88Goals against / game*1.75
LDLWWForm, last 5 (all comps)DDWLW
1614Elo rating (pre-match)1481
1.00 / 1.05Attack / defence index1.15 / 1.00

Table: current Bundesliga standings. *Bundesliga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Stuttgart 1 win · 2 draws · Bremen 2 wins

  • VfB Stuttgart 1–1 Werder Bremen
  • Werder Bremen 0–4 VfB Stuttgart
  • VfB Stuttgart 1–2 Werder Bremen
  • Werder Bremen 2–2 VfB Stuttgart
  • Werder Bremen 2–1 VfB Stuttgart