The Coefficient479OVRHome
Samsunspor
- ATT
- 5010
- DEF
- 4910
- FRM
- 306
- ELO
- 5712
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Samsunspor vs Konyaspor: Turkish Süper Lig, Nov 7, 2026
Turkish Süper LigHomeSamsunspor479OVR
Kick-off 7:00 AM CT
AwayKonyaspor5411OVR
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 7:00 AM CT · Samsun 19 Mayis Stadium, Samsun, Türkiye
Team comparison
Ratings
- 5010Attack398
- 4910Defence6914
- 306Form5311
- 5712Elo strength5511
- 479Overall5411
5411OVRAway
Konyaspor
- ATT
- 398
- DEF
- 6914
- FRM
- 5311
- ELO
- 5511
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Samsunspor (17th, 4 pts from 9) host Konyaspor (15th, 8 pts from 10) in the Süper Lig table as it stands. Samsunspor have scored 8 and conceded 21 in 9 Süper Lig games (0.9 and 2.3 per game). Konyaspor have scored 6 and conceded 13 in 10 Süper Lig games (0.6 and 1.3 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Samsunspor LLLLL, Konyaspor DDLWL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Samsunspor won 2, Konyaspor won 2 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.1–1.0. This looks evenly matched: Samsunspor 36%, draw 30%, Konyaspor 34%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 14% chance. Elo ratings (Samsunspor 1470, Konyaspor 1457) give Samsunspor an expected score of 60%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Samsunspor 1.06 · Konyaspor 1.03 · most likely score 1–1 (14%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.61 / away 1.28 goals per game from 85 Süper Lig games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Samsunspor expected score 60%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Samsunspor | Konyaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 17th | Table position | 15th |
| 4 (9) | Points (played) | 8 (10) |
| 1-1-7 | W-D-L | 2-2-6 |
| 0.89 | Goals for / game* | 0.60 |
| 2.33 | Goals against / game* | 1.30 |
| LLLLL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | DDLWL |
| 1470 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1457 |
| 0.71 / 1.46 | Attack / defence index | 0.55 / 0.92 |
Table: current Süper Lig standings. *Süper Lig games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Samsunspor 2 wins · 1 draw · Konyaspor 2 wins
- Samsunspor 2–2 Konyaspor
- Konyaspor 1–3 Samsunspor
- Konyaspor 0–1 Samsunspor
- Samsunspor 0–1 Konyaspor
- Konyaspor 3–0 Samsunspor