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RB Leipzig vs FC Augsburg: Bundesliga, Nov 7, 2026

Bundesliga
HomeRB Leipzig7415OVR
Kick-off 8:30 AM CT
AwayFC Augsburg6313OVR

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 8:30 AM CT · Red Bull Arena, Leipzig, Germany

Team comparison

Ratings

7415OVRHome

RB Leipzig

ATT
8016
DEF
7215
FRM
7114
ELO
7114
  • 8016Attack7315
  • 7215Defence6313
  • 7114Form5311
  • 7114Elo strength5912
  • 7415Overall6313
ATTDEFFRMELO
RB Leipzig Augsburg
6313OVRAway

FC Augsburg

ATT
7315
DEF
6313
FRM
5311
ELO
5912

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

RB Leipzig (4th, 15 pts from 8) host Augsburg (9th, 9 pts from 8) in the Bundesliga table as it stands. RB Leipzig have scored 22 and conceded 11 in 8 Bundesliga games (2.8 and 1.4 per game). Augsburg have scored 18 and conceded 15 in 8 Bundesliga games (2.2 and 1.9 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): RB Leipzig LLWWW, Augsburg DLDWL. In the last 5 meetings on record, RB Leipzig won 3, Augsburg won 0 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 3.1–1.4. RB Leipzig are clear favorites: RB Leipzig 72%, draw 14%, Augsburg 14%. The single most likely score is 3–1, but even that only has a 8% chance. Elo ratings (RB Leipzig 1603, Augsburg 1492) give RB Leipzig an expected score of 73%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

RB Leipzig winDrawAugsburg win

Expected goals (model): RB Leipzig 3.15 · Augsburg 1.40 · most likely score 3–1 (8%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 2.13 / away 1.39 goals per game from 70 Bundesliga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: RB Leipzig expected score 73%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

RB LeipzigAugsburg
4thTable position9th
15 (8)Points (played)9 (8)
5-0-3W-D-L2-3-3
2.75Goals for / game*2.25
1.38Goals against / game*1.88
LLWWWForm, last 5 (all comps)DLDWL
1603Elo rating (pre-match)1492
1.41 / 0.84Attack / defence index1.20 / 1.05

Table: current Bundesliga standings. *Bundesliga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

RB Leipzig 3 wins · 2 draws · Augsburg 0 wins

  • RB Leipzig 2–1 FC Augsburg
  • FC Augsburg 0–6 RB Leipzig
  • FC Augsburg 0–0 RB Leipzig
  • RB Leipzig 4–0 FC Augsburg
  • FC Augsburg 2–2 RB Leipzig