The Coefficient5812OVRHome
SC Paderborn 07
- ATT
- 428
- DEF
- 7816
- FRM
- 5311
- ELO
- 5912
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SC Paderborn 07 vs Eintracht Frankfurt: Bundesliga, Nov 7, 2026
BundesligaHomeSC Paderborn 075812OVR
Kick-off 8:30 AM CT
AwayEintracht Frankfurt6012OVR
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 8:30 AM CT · Home Deluxe Arena, Paderborn, Germany
Team comparison
Ratings
- 428Attack5912
- 7816Defence5511
- 5311Form7114
- 5912Elo strength5712
- 5812Overall6012
6012OVRAway
Eintracht Frankfurt
- ATT
- 5912
- DEF
- 5511
- FRM
- 7114
- ELO
- 5712
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Paderborn (12th, 9 pts from 8) host Frankfurt (15th, 8 pts from 7) in the Bundesliga table as it stands. Paderborn have scored 6 and conceded 9 in 8 Bundesliga games (0.8 and 1.1 per game). Frankfurt have scored 10 and conceded 17 in 7 Bundesliga games (1.4 and 2.4 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Paderborn LDWLD, Frankfurt WLWLW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Paderborn won 3, Frankfurt won 2 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.6–0.9. Paderborn are clear favorites: Paderborn 53%, draw 25%, Frankfurt 21%. The single most likely score is 1–0, but even that only has a 13% chance. Elo ratings (Paderborn 1495, Frankfurt 1469) give Paderborn an expected score of 62%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Paderborn 1.57 · Frankfurt 0.89 · most likely score 1–0 (13%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 2.13 / away 1.39 goals per game from 70 Bundesliga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Paderborn expected score 62%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Paderborn | Frankfurt | |
|---|---|---|
| 12th | Table position | 15th |
| 9 (8) | Points (played) | 8 (7) |
| 2-3-3 | W-D-L | 2-2-3 |
| 0.75 | Goals for / game* | 1.43 |
| 1.12 | Goals against / game* | 2.43 |
| LDWLD | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WLWLW |
| 1495 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1469 |
| 0.58 / 0.74 | Attack / defence index | 0.87 / 1.27 |
Table: current Bundesliga standings. *Bundesliga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Paderborn 3 wins · 0 draws · Frankfurt 2 wins
- Eintracht Frankfurt 3–2 SC Paderborn 07
- SC Paderborn 07 2–1 Eintracht Frankfurt
- Eintracht Frankfurt 4–0 SC Paderborn 07
- SC Paderborn 07 3–1 Eintracht Frankfurt
- SC Paderborn 07 4–2 Eintracht Frankfurt