The Coefficient5211OVRHome
C.D. Nacional
- ATT
- 5812
- DEF
- 5211
- FRM
- 449
- ELO
- 4910
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C.D. Nacional vs Académico de Viseu: Primeira Liga, Nov 7, 2026
Primeira LigaHomeC.D. Nacional5211OVR
Kick-off 9:30 AM CT
AwayAcadémico de Viseu7114OVR
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 9:30 AM CT · Estádio da Madeira, Funchal, Portugal
Team comparison
Ratings
- 5812Attack6714
- 5211Defence6914
- 449Form8517
- 4910Elo strength6513
- 5211Overall7114
7114OVRAway
Académico de Viseu
- ATT
- 6714
- DEF
- 6914
- FRM
- 8517
- ELO
- 6513
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Nacional (16th, 7 pts from 9) host Académico (6th, 17 pts from 9) in the Primeira Liga table as it stands. Nacional have scored 10 and conceded 18 in 9 Primeira Liga games (1.1 and 2.0 per game). Académico have scored 13 and conceded 11 in 9 Primeira Liga games (1.4 and 1.2 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Nacional LLLLW, Académico WWWLW. The goals model expects about 1.0–2.0. Académico are clear favorites: Nacional 18%, draw 21%, Académico 61%. The single most likely score is 1–2, but even that only has a 10% chance. Elo ratings (Nacional 1401, Académico 1542) give Nacional an expected score of 39%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Nacional 1.02 · Académico 2.02 · most likely score 1–2 (10%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.30 / away 1.45 goals per game from 84 Primeira Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Nacional expected score 39%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Nacional | Académico | |
|---|---|---|
| 16th | Table position | 6th |
| 7 (9) | Points (played) | 17 (9) |
| 2-1-6 | W-D-L | 5-2-2 |
| 1.11 | Goals for / game* | 1.44 |
| 2.00 | Goals against / game* | 1.22 |
| LLLLW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WWWLW |
| 1401 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1542 |
| 0.86 / 1.34 | Attack / defence index | 1.04 / 0.92 |
Table: current Primeira Liga standings. *Primeira Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
No previous meetings in the data feed.