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Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur: Premier League, Nov 7, 2026

Premier League
HomeLeeds United6213OVR
Kick-off 6:30 AM CT
AwayTottenham Hotspur6714OVR

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 6:30 AM CT · Elland Road, Leeds, England

Team comparison

Ratings

6213OVRHome

Leeds United

ATT
5511
DEF
7816
FRM
449
ELO
6513
  • 5511Attack5812
  • 7816Defence7215
  • 449Form7615
  • 6513Elo strength6313
  • 6213Overall6714
ATTDEFFRMELO
Leeds Spurs
6714OVRAway

Tottenham Hotspur

ATT
5812
DEF
7215
FRM
7615
ELO
6313

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Leeds (11th, 11 pts from 9) host Spurs (8th, 12 pts from 9) in the Premier League table as it stands. Leeds have scored 9 and conceded 8 in 9 Premier League games (1.0 and 0.9 per game). Spurs have scored 10 and conceded 10 in 9 Premier League games (1.1 and 1.1 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Leeds DLDDL, Spurs LDWWW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Leeds won 0, Spurs won 4 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.1–0.8. Leeds are slight favorites: Leeds 42%, draw 32%, Spurs 26%. The single most likely score is 1–0, but even that only has a 17% chance. Elo ratings (Leeds 1549, Spurs 1531) give Leeds an expected score of 61%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

Leeds winDrawSpurs win

Expected goals (model): Leeds 1.05 · Spurs 0.76 · most likely score 1–0 (17%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.53 / away 1.20 goals per game from 88 Premier League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Leeds expected score 61%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

LeedsSpurs
11thTable position8th
11 (9)Points (played)12 (9)
2-5-2W-D-L3-3-3
1.00Goals for / game*1.11
0.89Goals against / game*1.11
DLDDLForm, last 5 (all comps)LDWWW
1549Elo rating (pre-match)1531
0.80 / 0.74Attack / defence index0.86 / 0.86

Table: current Premier League standings. *Premier League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Leeds 0 wins · 1 draw · Spurs 4 wins

  • Tottenham Hotspur 1–1 Leeds United
  • Leeds United 1–2 Tottenham Hotspur
  • Leeds United 1–4 Tottenham Hotspur
  • Tottenham Hotspur 4–3 Leeds United
  • Leeds United 0–4 Tottenham Hotspur