The Coefficient7315OVRHome
Goztepe
- ATT
- 7816
- DEF
- 6012
- FRM
- 9018
- ELO
- 6714
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Goztepe vs Istanbul Basaksehir: Turkish Süper Lig, Nov 7, 2026
Turkish Süper LigHomeGoztepe7315OVR
Kick-off 10:00 AM CT
AwayIstanbul Basaksehir6413OVR
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 10:00 AM CT · Göztepe Gürsel Aksel Stadi, Izmir, Türkiye
Team comparison
Ratings
- 7816Attack6213
- 6012Defence6313
- 9018Form6213
- 6714Elo strength6814
- 7315Overall6413
6413OVRAway
Istanbul Basaksehir
- ATT
- 6213
- DEF
- 6313
- FRM
- 6213
- ELO
- 6814
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Goztepe (9th, 15 pts from 10) host Istanbul BB (12th, 11 pts from 9) in the Süper Lig table as it stands. Goztepe have scored 21 and conceded 17 in 10 Süper Lig games (2.1 and 1.7 per game). Istanbul BB have scored 12 and conceded 14 in 9 Süper Lig games (1.3 and 1.6 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Goztepe DWWWW, Istanbul BB LWDWL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Goztepe won 3, Istanbul BB won 2 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 2.3–1.4. Goztepe are clear favorites: Goztepe 58%, draw 20%, Istanbul BB 22%. The single most likely score is 2–1, but even that only has a 9% chance. Elo ratings (Goztepe 1559, Istanbul BB 1569) give Goztepe an expected score of 57%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Goztepe 2.29 · Istanbul BB 1.37 · most likely score 2–1 (9%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.61 / away 1.28 goals per game from 85 Süper Lig games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Goztepe expected score 57%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Goztepe | Istanbul BB | |
|---|---|---|
| 9th | Table position | 12th |
| 15 (10) | Points (played) | 11 (9) |
| 4-3-3 | W-D-L | 3-2-4 |
| 2.10 | Goals for / game* | 1.33 |
| 1.70 | Goals against / game* | 1.56 |
| DWWWW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | LWDWL |
| 1559 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1569 |
| 1.35 / 1.13 | Attack / defence index | 0.94 / 1.06 |
Table: current Süper Lig standings. *Süper Lig games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Goztepe 3 wins · 0 draws · Istanbul BB 2 wins
- Istanbul Basaksehir 2–1 Goztepe
- Goztepe 1–0 Istanbul Basaksehir
- Goztepe 4–1 Istanbul Basaksehir
- Istanbul Basaksehir 4–1 Goztepe
- Istanbul Basaksehir 1–2 Goztepe