The Coefficient7916OVRHome
Galatasaray
- ATT
- 8116
- DEF
- 7114
- FRM
- 8517
- ELO
- 8217
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Galatasaray vs Amed SFK: Turkish Süper Lig, Nov 7, 2026
Turkish Süper LigHomeGalatasaray7916OVR
Kick-off 10:00 AM CT
AwayAmed SFK7716OVR
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 10:00 AM CT · RAMS Park, Istanbul, Türkiye
Team comparison
Ratings
- 8116Attack8016
- 7114Defence7315
- 8517Form9018
- 8217Elo strength6714
- 7916Overall7716
7716OVRAway
Amed SFK
- ATT
- 8016
- DEF
- 7315
- FRM
- 9018
- ELO
- 6714
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Galatasaray (1st, 25 pts from 10) host Amed SFK (2nd, 20 pts from 9) in the Süper Lig table as it stands. Galatasaray have scored 23 and conceded 12 in 10 Süper Lig games (2.3 and 1.2 per game). Amed SFK have scored 20 and conceded 10 in 9 Süper Lig games (2.2 and 1.1 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Galatasaray LWWWW, Amed SFK WWDWW. The goals model expects about 1.9–1.6. Galatasaray are slight favorites: Galatasaray 47%, draw 22%, Amed SFK 31%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 9% chance. Elo ratings (Galatasaray 1695, Amed SFK 1559) give Galatasaray an expected score of 76%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Galatasaray 1.93 · Amed SFK 1.56 · most likely score 1–1 (9%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.61 / away 1.28 goals per game from 85 Süper Lig games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Galatasaray expected score 76%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Galatasaray | Amed SFK | |
|---|---|---|
| 1st | Table position | 2nd |
| 25 (10) | Points (played) | 20 (9) |
| 8-1-1 | W-D-L | 6-2-1 |
| 2.30 | Goals for / game* | 2.22 |
| 1.20 | Goals against / game* | 1.11 |
| LWWWW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WWDWW |
| 1695 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1559 |
| 1.45 / 0.87 | Attack / defence index | 1.40 / 0.83 |
Table: current Süper Lig standings. *Süper Lig games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
No previous meetings in the data feed.