The Coefficient6513OVRHome
Fortuna Sittard
- ATT
- 6012
- DEF
- 7014
- FRM
- 7114
- ELO
- 5712
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Fortuna Sittard vs Telstar: Eredivisie, Nov 7, 2026
EredivisieHomeFortuna Sittard6513OVR
Kick-off 9:30 AM CT
AwayTelstar5110OVR
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 9:30 AM CT · Fortuna Sittard Stadion, Sittard, Netherlands
Team comparison
Ratings
- 6012Attack5110
- 7014Defence6112
- 7114Form357
- 5712Elo strength5311
- 6513Overall5110
5110OVRAway
Telstar
- ATT
- 5110
- DEF
- 6112
- FRM
- 357
- ELO
- 5311
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Fortuna (6th, 19 pts from 11) host Telstar (16th, 6 pts from 10) in the Eredivisie table as it stands. Fortuna have scored 18 and conceded 18 in 11 Eredivisie games (1.6 and 1.6 per game). Telstar have scored 12 and conceded 21 in 10 Eredivisie games (1.2 and 2.1 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Fortuna DDWWD, Telstar LDLLL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Fortuna won 2, Telstar won 1 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.8–1.3. Fortuna are clear favorites: Fortuna 49%, draw 23%, Telstar 27%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 11% chance. Elo ratings (Fortuna 1471, Telstar 1438) give Fortuna an expected score of 63%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Fortuna 1.77 · Telstar 1.26 · most likely score 1–1 (11%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.81 / away 1.95 goals per game from 95 Eredivisie games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Fortuna expected score 63%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Fortuna | Telstar | |
|---|---|---|
| 6th | Table position | 16th |
| 19 (11) | Points (played) | 6 (10) |
| 5-4-2 | W-D-L | 1-3-6 |
| 1.64 | Goals for / game* | 1.20 |
| 1.64 | Goals against / game* | 2.10 |
| DDWWD | Form, last 5 (all comps) | LDLLL |
| 1471 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1438 |
| 0.90 / 0.90 | Attack / defence index | 0.72 / 1.09 |
Table: current Eredivisie standings. *Eredivisie games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Fortuna 2 wins · 2 draws · Telstar 1 win
- Fortuna Sittard 1–4 Telstar
- Telstar 1–3 Fortuna Sittard
- Fortuna Sittard 1–1 Telstar
- Telstar 0–6 Fortuna Sittard
- Fortuna Sittard 1–1 Telstar