The Coefficient357OVRHome
Eyupspor
- ATT
- 214
- DEF
- 459
- FRM
- 306
- ELO
- 469
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Eyupspor vs Kocaelispor: Turkish Süper Lig, Nov 7, 2026
Turkish Süper LigHomeEyupspor357OVR
Kick-off 4:30 AM CT
AwayKocaelispor6513OVR
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 4:30 AM CT · Esenyurt Necmi Kadioglu Stadi, Istanbul, Türkiye
Team comparison
Ratings
- 214Attack5611
- 459Defence8016
- 306Form6213
- 469Elo strength5812
- 357Overall6513
6513OVRAway
Kocaelispor
- ATT
- 5611
- DEF
- 8016
- FRM
- 6213
- ELO
- 5812
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Eyupspor (18th, 3 pts from 9) host Kocaelispor (8th, 16 pts from 10) in the Süper Lig table as it stands. Eyupspor have scored 2 and conceded 23 in 9 Süper Lig games (0.2 and 2.6 per game). Kocaelispor have scored 11 and conceded 9 in 10 Süper Lig games (1.1 and 0.9 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Eyupspor LLLLL, Kocaelispor WLLWD. In the last 2 meetings on record, Eyupspor won 0, Kocaelispor won 2 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 0.4–1.6. Kocaelispor are clear favorites: Eyupspor 9%, draw 23%, Kocaelispor 68%. The single most likely score is 0–1, but even that only has a 21% chance. Elo ratings (Eyupspor 1375, Kocaelispor 1482) give Eyupspor an expected score of 43%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Eyupspor 0.42 · Kocaelispor 1.65 · most likely score 0–1 (21%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.61 / away 1.28 goals per game from 85 Süper Lig games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Eyupspor expected score 43%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Eyupspor | Kocaelispor | |
|---|---|---|
| 18th | Table position | 8th |
| 3 (9) | Points (played) | 16 (10) |
| 1-0-8 | W-D-L | 5-1-4 |
| 0.22 | Goals for / game* | 1.10 |
| 2.56 | Goals against / game* | 0.90 |
| LLLLL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WLLWD |
| 1375 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1482 |
| 0.37 / 1.57 | Attack / defence index | 0.82 / 0.71 |
Table: current Süper Lig standings. *Süper Lig games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Eyupspor 0 wins · 0 draws · Kocaelispor 2 wins
- Eyupspor 0–1 Kocaelispor
- Kocaelispor 1–0 Eyupspor