The Coefficient5912OVRHome
Espanyol
- ATT
- 5712
- DEF
- 7114
- FRM
- 4810
- ELO
- 5511
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Espanyol vs Deportivo: La Liga, Nov 7, 2026
La LigaHomeEspanyol5912OVR
Kick-off 9:15 AM CT
AwayDeportivo6213OVR
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 9:15 AM CT · RCDE Stadium, Barcelona, Spain
Team comparison
Ratings
- 5712Attack6012
- 7114Defence7014
- 4810Form5311
- 5511Elo strength6012
- 5912Overall6213
6213OVRAway
Deportivo
- ATT
- 6012
- DEF
- 7014
- FRM
- 5311
- ELO
- 6012
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Espanyol (13th, 11 pts from 11) host Deportivo (12th, 11 pts from 10) in the La Liga table as it stands. Espanyol have scored 13 and conceded 14 in 11 La Liga games (1.2 and 1.3 per game). Deportivo have scored 13 and conceded 13 in 10 La Liga games (1.3 and 1.3 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Espanyol DLLLW, Deportivo DLDLW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Espanyol won 3, Deportivo won 0 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.3–1.0. Espanyol are slight favorites: Espanyol 42%, draw 28%, Deportivo 30%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 13% chance. Elo ratings (Espanyol 1456, Deportivo 1498) give Espanyol an expected score of 53%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Espanyol 1.28 · Deportivo 1.02 · most likely score 1–1 (13%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.72 / away 1.30 goals per game from 104 La Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Espanyol expected score 53%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Espanyol | Deportivo | |
|---|---|---|
| 13th | Table position | 12th |
| 11 (11) | Points (played) | 11 (10) |
| 3-2-6 | W-D-L | 2-5-3 |
| 1.18 | Goals for / game* | 1.30 |
| 1.27 | Goals against / game* | 1.30 |
| DLLLW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | DLDLW |
| 1456 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1498 |
| 0.83 / 0.88 | Attack / defence index | 0.89 / 0.89 |
Table: current La Liga standings. *La Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Espanyol 3 wins · 2 draws · Deportivo 0 wins
- Deportivo 0–0 Espanyol
- Espanyol 4–1 Deportivo
- Deportivo 1–2 Espanyol
- Espanyol 1–1 Deportivo
- Espanyol 1–0 Deportivo