The Coefficient5511OVRHome
Cagliari
- ATT
- 479
- DEF
- 6814
- FRM
- 4810
- ELO
- 5511
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Cagliari vs Frosinone: Serie A, Nov 7, 2026
Serie AHomeCagliari5511OVR
Kick-off 8:00 AM CT
AwayFrosinone7215OVR
Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 8:00 AM CT · Unipol Domus, Cagliari, Italy
Team comparison
Ratings
- 479Attack7916
- 6814Defence6613
- 4810Form7615
- 5511Elo strength6613
- 5511Overall7215
7215OVRAway
Frosinone
- ATT
- 7916
- DEF
- 6613
- FRM
- 7615
- ELO
- 6613
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Cagliari (11th, 13 pts from 9) host Frosinone (6th, 17 pts from 9) in the Serie A table as it stands. Cagliari have scored 8 and conceded 13 in 9 Serie A games (0.9 and 1.4 per game). Frosinone have scored 22 and conceded 14 in 9 Serie A games (2.4 and 1.6 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Cagliari WDLLL, Frosinone WLWDW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Cagliari won 2, Frosinone won 1 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.1–2.0. Frosinone are clear favorites: Cagliari 19%, draw 21%, Frosinone 60%. The single most likely score is 1–2, but even that only has a 10% chance. Elo ratings (Cagliari 1453, Frosinone 1551) give Cagliari an expected score of 45%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Cagliari 1.06 · Frosinone 2.03 · most likely score 1–2 (10%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.63 / away 1.57 goals per game from 93 Serie A games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Cagliari expected score 45%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Cagliari | Frosinone | |
|---|---|---|
| 11th | Table position | 6th |
| 13 (9) | Points (played) | 17 (9) |
| 4-1-4 | W-D-L | 5-2-2 |
| 0.89 | Goals for / game* | 2.44 |
| 1.44 | Goals against / game* | 1.56 |
| WDLLL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WLWDW |
| 1453 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1551 |
| 0.67 / 0.93 | Attack / defence index | 1.39 / 0.98 |
Table: current Serie A standings. *Serie A games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Cagliari 2 wins · 2 draws · Frosinone 1 win
- Cagliari 4–1 Frosinone
- Frosinone 3–1 Cagliari
- Cagliari 4–3 Frosinone
- Cagliari 0–0 Frosinone
- Frosinone 2–2 Cagliari