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AS Roma vs Sassuolo: Serie A, Nov 7, 2026

Serie A
HomeAS Roma8417OVR
Kick-off 1:45 PM CT
AwaySassuolo5311OVR

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 1:45 PM CT · Olimpico, Roma, Italy

Team comparison

Ratings

8417OVRHome

AS Roma

ATT
8517
DEF
8016
FRM
9018
ELO
8317
  • 8517Attack6413
  • 8016Defence5110
  • 9018Form357
  • 8317Elo strength5712
  • 8417Overall5311
ATTDEFFRMELO
AS Roma Sassuolo
5311OVRAway

Sassuolo

ATT
6413
DEF
5110
FRM
357
ELO
5712

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

AS Roma (3rd, 24 pts from 10) host Sassuolo (15th, 8 pts from 9) in the Serie A table as it stands. AS Roma have scored 28 and conceded 10 in 10 Serie A games (2.8 and 1.0 per game). Sassuolo have scored 14 and conceded 22 in 9 Serie A games (1.6 and 2.4 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): AS Roma WWDWW, Sassuolo LDLLL. In the last 5 meetings on record, AS Roma won 4, Sassuolo won 1 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 3.6–1.1. AS Roma are clear favorites: AS Roma 83%, draw 10%, Sassuolo 7%. The single most likely score is 3–1, but even that only has a 8% chance. Elo ratings (AS Roma 1708, Sassuolo 1470) give AS Roma an expected score of 85%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

AS Roma winDrawSassuolo win

Expected goals (model): AS Roma 3.59 · Sassuolo 1.09 · most likely score 3–1 (8%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.63 / away 1.57 goals per game from 93 Serie A games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: AS Roma expected score 85%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

AS RomaSassuolo
3rdTable position15th
24 (10)Points (played)8 (9)
7-3-0W-D-L2-2-5
2.80Goals for / game*1.56
1.00Goals against / game*2.44
WWDWWForm, last 5 (all comps)LDLLL
1708Elo rating (pre-match)1470
1.58 / 0.71Attack / defence index0.98 / 1.39

Table: current Serie A standings. *Serie A games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

AS Roma 4 wins · 0 draws · Sassuolo 1 win

  • AS Roma 2–0 Sassuolo
  • Sassuolo 0–1 AS Roma
  • AS Roma 1–0 Sassuolo
  • Sassuolo 1–2 AS Roma
  • AS Roma 3–4 Sassuolo