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ADO Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam: Eredivisie, Nov 7, 2026

Eredivisie
HomeADO Den Haag5511OVR
Kick-off 11:45 AM CT
AwaySparta Rotterdam5611OVR

Saturday, November 7, 2026 · 11:45 AM CT · ADO Den Haag Stadium, Den Haag, Netherlands

Team comparison

Ratings

5511OVRHome

ADO Den Haag

ATT
5311
DEF
5812
FRM
5311
ELO
5411
  • 5311Attack6213
  • 5812Defence5712
  • 5311Form4810
  • 5411Elo strength5211
  • 5511Overall5611
ATTDEFFRMELO
ADO Den Haag Sparta
5611OVRAway

Sparta Rotterdam

ATT
6213
DEF
5712
FRM
4810
ELO
5211

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

ADO Den Haag (17th, 6 pts from 10) host Sparta (14th, 9 pts from 10) in the Eredivisie table as it stands. ADO Den Haag have scored 13 and conceded 23 in 10 Eredivisie games (1.3 and 2.3 per game). Sparta have scored 17 and conceded 24 in 10 Eredivisie games (1.7 and 2.4 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): ADO Den Haag DDWLL, Sparta LDWLL. In the last 5 meetings on record, ADO Den Haag won 1, Sparta won 2 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.7–2.1. Sparta are slight favorites: ADO Den Haag 31%, draw 21%, Sparta 48%. The single most likely score is 1–2, but even that only has a 8% chance. Elo ratings (ADO Den Haag 1450, Sparta 1428) give ADO Den Haag an expected score of 62%, which disagrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

ADO Den Haag winDrawSparta win

Expected goals (model): ADO Den Haag 1.68 · Sparta 2.12 · most likely score 1–2 (8%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.81 / away 1.95 goals per game from 95 Eredivisie games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: ADO Den Haag expected score 62%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

ADO Den HaagSparta
17thTable position14th
6 (10)Points (played)9 (10)
1-3-6W-D-L2-3-5
1.30Goals for / game*1.70
2.30Goals against / game*2.40
DDWLLForm, last 5 (all comps)LDWLL
1450Elo rating (pre-match)1428
0.76 / 1.17Attack / defence index0.93 / 1.21

Table: current Eredivisie standings. *Eredivisie games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

ADO Den Haag 1 win · 2 draws · Sparta 2 wins

  • ADO Den Haag 2–0 Sparta Rotterdam
  • ADO Den Haag 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam
  • Sparta Rotterdam 6–0 ADO Den Haag
  • ADO Den Haag 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam
  • Sparta Rotterdam 4–2 ADO Den Haag