The Coefficient479OVRHome
Venezia
- ATT
- 408
- DEF
- 5611
- FRM
- 449
- ELO
- 479
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Venezia vs Udinese: Serie A, Nov 6, 2026
Serie AHomeVenezia479OVR
Kick-off 1:45 PM CT
AwayUdinese4910OVR
Friday, November 6, 2026 · 1:45 PM CT · Stadio Pier Luigi Penzo, Venezia, Italy
Team comparison
Ratings
- 408Attack5311
- 5611Defence5211
- 449Form357
- 479Elo strength5311
- 479Overall4910
4910OVRAway
Udinese
- ATT
- 5311
- DEF
- 5211
- FRM
- 357
- ELO
- 5311
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Venezia (20th, 3 pts from 9) host Udinese (19th, 5 pts from 10) in the Serie A table as it stands. Venezia have scored 6 and conceded 19 in 9 Serie A games (0.7 and 2.1 per game). Udinese have scored 11 and conceded 23 in 10 Serie A games (1.1 and 2.3 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Venezia LLWLL, Udinese LLLDL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Venezia won 1, Udinese won 4 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.2–1.5. Udinese are slight favorites: Venezia 31%, draw 26%, Udinese 43%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 12% chance. Elo ratings (Venezia 1380, Udinese 1434) give Venezia an expected score of 51%, which disagrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Venezia 1.23 · Udinese 1.48 · most likely score 1–1 (12%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.63 / away 1.57 goals per game from 93 Serie A games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Venezia expected score 51%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Venezia | Udinese | |
|---|---|---|
| 20th | Table position | 19th |
| 3 (9) | Points (played) | 5 (10) |
| 1-0-8 | W-D-L | 1-2-7 |
| 0.67 | Goals for / game* | 1.10 |
| 2.11 | Goals against / game* | 2.30 |
| LLWLL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | LLLDL |
| 1380 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1434 |
| 0.56 / 1.24 | Attack / defence index | 0.76 / 1.34 |
Table: current Serie A standings. *Serie A games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Venezia 1 win · 0 draws · Udinese 4 wins
- Udinese 2–1 Venezia
- Udinese 3–2 Venezia
- Venezia 3–2 Udinese
- Venezia 1–2 Udinese
- Udinese 3–0 Venezia