The Coefficient6313OVRHome
Sevilla
- ATT
- 6714
- DEF
- 6313
- FRM
- 6213
- ELO
- 5812
← Match Center
Sevilla vs Alavés: La Liga, Nov 6, 2026
La LigaHomeSevilla6313OVR
Kick-off 2:00 PM CT
AwayAlavés5712OVR
Friday, November 6, 2026 · 2:00 PM CT · Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán Stadium, Sevilla, Spain
Team comparison
Ratings
- 6714Attack6213
- 6313Defence6413
- 6213Form398
- 5812Elo strength5611
- 6313Overall5712
5712OVRAway
Alavés
- ATT
- 6213
- DEF
- 6413
- FRM
- 398
- ELO
- 5611
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Sevilla (6th, 17 pts from 10) host Alavés (10th, 12 pts from 11) in the La Liga table as it stands. Sevilla have scored 16 and conceded 16 in 10 La Liga games (1.6 and 1.6 per game). Alavés have scored 15 and conceded 17 in 11 La Liga games (1.4 and 1.5 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Sevilla LDLWW, Alavés DLLDL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Sevilla won 1, Alavés won 2 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.8–1.3. Sevilla are clear favorites: Sevilla 51%, draw 23%, Alavés 26%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 10% chance. Elo ratings (Sevilla 1485, Alavés 1468) give Sevilla an expected score of 61%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Sevilla 1.83 · Alavés 1.25 · most likely score 1–1 (10%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.72 / away 1.30 goals per game from 104 La Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Sevilla expected score 61%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Sevilla | Alavés | |
|---|---|---|
| 6th | Table position | 10th |
| 17 (10) | Points (played) | 12 (11) |
| 5-2-3 | W-D-L | 3-3-5 |
| 1.60 | Goals for / game* | 1.36 |
| 1.60 | Goals against / game* | 1.55 |
| LDLWW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | DLLDL |
| 1485 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1468 |
| 1.05 / 1.05 | Attack / defence index | 0.92 / 1.02 |
Table: current La Liga standings. *La Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Sevilla 1 win · 2 draws · Alavés 2 wins
- Sevilla 1–1 Alavés
- Alavés 1–0 Sevilla
- Alavés 1–2 Sevilla
- Sevilla 1–1 Alavés
- Alavés 2–1 Sevilla