The Coefficient5110OVRHome
Gaziantep FK
- ATT
- 5411
- DEF
- 6012
- FRM
- 357
- ELO
- 5010
← Match Center
Gaziantep FK vs Kasimpasa: Turkish Süper Lig, Nov 6, 2026
Turkish Süper LigHomeGaziantep FK5110OVR
Kick-off 11:00 AM CT
AwayKasimpasa7014OVR
Friday, November 6, 2026 · 11:00 AM CT · Gaziantep Stadium, Gaziantep, Türkiye
Team comparison
Ratings
- 5411Attack6513
- 6012Defence7615
- 357Form7615
- 5010Elo strength6012
- 5110Overall7014
7014OVRAway
Kasimpasa
- ATT
- 6513
- DEF
- 7615
- FRM
- 7615
- ELO
- 6012
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Gaziantep (14th, 8 pts from 9) host Kasimpasa (7th, 16 pts from 9) in the Süper Lig table as it stands. Gaziantep have scored 9 and conceded 15 in 9 Süper Lig games (1.0 and 1.7 per game). Kasimpasa have scored 13 and conceded 9 in 9 Süper Lig games (1.4 and 1.0 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Gaziantep DLLLL, Kasimpasa DWLWW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Gaziantep won 3, Kasimpasa won 0 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.0–1.4. Kasimpasa are clear favorites: Gaziantep 25%, draw 27%, Kasimpasa 48%. The single most likely score is 0–1, but even that only has a 13% chance. Elo ratings (Gaziantep 1411, Kasimpasa 1502) give Gaziantep an expected score of 45%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Gaziantep 0.95 · Kasimpasa 1.43 · most likely score 0–1 (13%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.61 / away 1.28 goals per game from 85 Süper Lig games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Gaziantep expected score 45%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Gaziantep | Kasimpasa | |
|---|---|---|
| 14th | Table position | 7th |
| 8 (9) | Points (played) | 16 (9) |
| 2-2-5 | W-D-L | 4-4-1 |
| 1.00 | Goals for / game* | 1.44 |
| 1.67 | Goals against / game* | 1.00 |
| DLLLL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | DWLWW |
| 1411 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1502 |
| 0.77 / 1.11 | Attack / defence index | 1.00 / 0.77 |
Table: current Süper Lig standings. *Süper Lig games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Gaziantep 3 wins · 2 draws · Kasimpasa 0 wins
- Gaziantep FK 2–1 Kasimpasa
- Kasimpasa 2–3 Gaziantep FK
- Gaziantep FK 2–2 Kasimpasa
- Kasimpasa 2–2 Gaziantep FK
- Gaziantep FK 2–0 Kasimpasa