The Coefficient6313OVRHome
Everton
- ATT
- 5611
- DEF
- 7114
- FRM
- 6213
- ELO
- 6313
← Match Center
Everton vs Coventry City: Premier League, Nov 6, 2026
Premier LeagueHomeEverton6313OVR
Kick-off 2:00 PM CT
AwayCoventry City5912OVR
Friday, November 6, 2026 · 2:00 PM CT · Hill Dickinson Stadium, Liverpool, England
Team comparison
Ratings
- 5611Attack5511
- 7114Defence5611
- 6213Form7114
- 6313Elo strength5912
- 6313Overall5912
5912OVRAway
Coventry City
- ATT
- 5511
- DEF
- 5611
- FRM
- 7114
- ELO
- 5912
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Everton (14th, 10 pts from 8) host Coventry (16th, 9 pts from 9) in the Premier League table as it stands. Everton have scored 8 and conceded 9 in 8 Premier League games (1.0 and 1.1 per game). Coventry have scored 9 and conceded 16 in 9 Premier League games (1.0 and 1.8 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Everton WDLLW, Coventry WWLLW. In the last meeting on record, Everton won 0, Coventry won 1 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.5–0.8. Everton are clear favorites: Everton 53%, draw 26%, Coventry 21%. The single most likely score is 1–0, but even that only has a 14% chance. Elo ratings (Everton 1525, Coventry 1488) give Everton an expected score of 64%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Everton 1.51 · Coventry 0.84 · most likely score 1–0 (14%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.53 / away 1.20 goals per game from 88 Premier League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Everton expected score 64%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Everton | Coventry | |
|---|---|---|
| 14th | Table position | 16th |
| 10 (8) | Points (played) | 9 (9) |
| 2-4-2 | W-D-L | 3-0-6 |
| 1.00 | Goals for / game* | 1.00 |
| 1.12 | Goals against / game* | 1.78 |
| WDLLW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WWLLW |
| 1525 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1488 |
| 0.80 / 0.87 | Attack / defence index | 0.80 / 1.22 |
Table: current Premier League standings. *Premier League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Everton 0 wins · 0 draws · Coventry 1 win
- Everton 0–3 Coventry City