The Coefficient6012OVRHome
Red Star Belgrade
- ATT
- 7114
- DEF
- 5511
- FRM
- 4810
- ELO
- 6112
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Red Star Belgrade vs Inter D'Escaldes: UEFA Conference League, Nov 5, 2026
UEFA Conference LeagueHomeRed Star Belgrade6012OVR
Kick-off 11:45 AM CT
AwayInter D'Escaldes5010OVR
Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 11:45 AM CT · Rajko Mitic Stadium, Belgrade, Serbia
Team comparison
Ratings
- 7114Attack5211
- 5511Defence5511
- 4810Form398
- 6112Elo strength––
- 6012Overall5010
5010OVRAway
Inter D'Escaldes
- ATT
- 5211
- DEF
- 5511
- FRM
- 398
- ELO
- ––
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Red Star (22nd, 1 pts from 2) host Inter D'Escaldes (35th, 0 pts from 2) in the Conference League table as it stands. Red Star have scored 4 and conceded 5 in 2 Conference League games (2.0 and 2.5 per game). Inter D'Escaldes have scored 1 and conceded 5 in 2 Conference League games (0.5 and 2.5 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Red Star LWLLD, Inter D'Escaldes DDLLL. The goals model expects about 2.4–1.2. Red Star are clear favorites: Red Star 62%, draw 19%, Inter D'Escaldes 19%. The single most likely score is 2–1, but even that only has a 9% chance. Small sample warning: one side has only 2 Conference League games this season, so these numbers lean heavily on competition averages.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Red Star 2.37 · Inter D'Escaldes 1.25 · most likely score 2–1 (9%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.64 / away 1.33 goals per game from 36 Conference League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Red Star expected score 63%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Red Star | Inter D'Escaldes | |
|---|---|---|
| 22nd | Table position | 35th |
| 1 (2) | Points (played) | 0 (2) |
| 0-1-1 | W-D-L | 0-0-2 |
| 2.00 | Goals for / game* | 0.50 |
| 2.50 | Goals against / game* | 2.50 |
| LWLLD | Form, last 5 (all comps) | DDLLL |
| 1505 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1470 |
| 1.14 / 1.27 | Attack / defence index | 0.73 / 1.27 |
Table: current Conference League standings. *Conference League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
No previous meetings in the data feed.