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AS Monaco vs FC Nordsjælland: UEFA Conference League, Nov 5, 2026

UEFA Conference League
HomeAS Monaco7415OVR
Kick-off 2:00 PM CT
AwayFC Nordsjælland6213OVR

Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 2:00 PM CT · Stade Louis II, Monaco, France

Team comparison

Ratings

7415OVRHome

AS Monaco

ATT
7515
DEF
7816
FRM
6714
ELO
7215
  • 7515Attack6513
  • 7816Defence6513
  • 6714Form5311
  • 7215Elo strength––
  • 7415Overall6213
ATTDEFFRMELO
Monaco Nordsjælland
6213OVRAway

FC Nordsjælland

ATT
6513
DEF
6513
FRM
5311
ELO
––

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Monaco (6th, 6 pts from 2) host Nordsjælland (19th, 2 pts from 2) in the Conference League table as it stands. Monaco have scored 5 and conceded 1 in 2 Conference League games (2.5 and 0.5 per game). Nordsjælland have scored 3 and conceded 3 in 2 Conference League games (1.5 and 1.5 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Monaco DWLWD, Nordsjælland DDDDD. The goals model expects about 2.1–1.0. Monaco are clear favorites: Monaco 63%, draw 20%, Nordsjælland 17%. The single most likely score is 2–0, but even that only has a 10% chance. Small sample warning: one side has only 2 Conference League games this season, so these numbers lean heavily on competition averages.

Data outlook

Monaco winDrawNordsjælland win

Expected goals (model): Monaco 2.09 · Nordsjælland 0.98 · most likely score 2–0 (10%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.64 / away 1.33 goals per game from 36 Conference League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Monaco expected score 73%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

MonacoNordsjælland
6thTable position19th
6 (2)Points (played)2 (2)
2-0-0W-D-L0-2-0
2.50Goals for / game*1.50
0.50Goals against / game*1.50
DWLWDForm, last 5 (all comps)DDDDD
1610Elo rating (pre-match)1500
1.27 / 0.73Attack / defence index1.00 / 1.00

Table: current Conference League standings. *Conference League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

No previous meetings in the data feed.