The Coefficient6914OVRHome
Mjällby AIF
- ATT
- 6513
- DEF
- 7816
- FRM
- 6213
- ELO
- ––
← Match Center
Mjällby AIF vs Borac Banja Luka: UEFA Conference League, Nov 5, 2026
UEFA Conference LeagueHomeMjällby AIF6914OVR
Kick-off 11:45 AM CT
AwayBorac Banja Luka6513OVR
Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 11:45 AM CT · Olympia, Helsingborg, Sweden
Team comparison
Ratings
- 6513Attack6513
- 7816Defence7114
- 6213Form6213
- ––Elo strength6012
- 6914Overall6513
6513OVRAway
Borac Banja Luka
- ATT
- 6513
- DEF
- 7114
- FRM
- 6213
- ELO
- 6012
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Mjällby (12th, 4 pts from 2) host Borac (14th, 3 pts from 2) in the Conference League table as it stands. Mjällby have scored 3 and conceded 1 in 2 Conference League games (1.5 and 0.5 per game). Borac have scored 3 and conceded 2 in 2 Conference League games (1.5 and 1.0 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Mjällby WLDLW, Borac WLDLW. The goals model expects about 1.4–1.0. Mjällby are clear favorites: Mjällby 47%, draw 27%, Borac 26%. The single most likely score is 1–0, but even that only has a 13% chance. Small sample warning: one side has only 2 Conference League games this season, so these numbers lean heavily on competition averages.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Mjällby 1.43 · Borac 0.98 · most likely score 1–0 (13%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.64 / away 1.33 goals per game from 36 Conference League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Mjällby expected score 60%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Mjällby | Borac | |
|---|---|---|
| 12th | Table position | 14th |
| 4 (2) | Points (played) | 3 (2) |
| 1-1-0 | W-D-L | 1-0-1 |
| 1.50 | Goals for / game* | 1.50 |
| 0.50 | Goals against / game* | 1.00 |
| WLDLW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WLDLW |
| 1513 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1503 |
| 1.00 / 0.73 | Attack / defence index | 1.00 / 0.87 |
Table: current Conference League standings. *Conference League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
No previous meetings in the data feed.