The Coefficient5311OVRHome
KuPS Kuopio
- ATT
- 5912
- DEF
- 5010
- FRM
- 4810
- ELO
- 5511
← Match Center
KuPS Kuopio vs KAA Gent: UEFA Conference League, Nov 5, 2026
UEFA Conference LeagueHomeKuPS Kuopio5311OVR
Kick-off 11:45 AM CT
AwayKAA Gent6613OVR
Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 11:45 AM CT · Tammelan Stadion, Tampere, Finland
Team comparison
Ratings
- 5912Attack5211
- 5010Defence7114
- 4810Form8517
- 5511Elo strength5912
- 5311Overall6613
6613OVRAway
KAA Gent
- ATT
- 5211
- DEF
- 7114
- FRM
- 8517
- ELO
- 5912
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
KuPS Kuopio (34th, 0 pts from 2) host KAA Gent (17th, 3 pts from 2) in the Conference League table as it stands. KuPS Kuopio have scored 2 and conceded 6 in 2 Conference League games (1.0 and 3.0 per game). KAA Gent have scored 1 and conceded 2 in 2 Conference League games (0.5 and 1.0 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): KuPS Kuopio LDWLL, KAA Gent WWWLW. The goals model expects about 1.2–1.4. This looks evenly matched: KuPS Kuopio 34%, draw 26%, KAA Gent 40%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 12% chance. Small sample warning: one side has only 2 Conference League games this season, so these numbers lean heavily on competition averages.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): KuPS Kuopio 1.24 · KAA Gent 1.38 · most likely score 1–1 (12%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.64 / away 1.33 goals per game from 36 Conference League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: KuPS Kuopio expected score 54%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| KuPS Kuopio | KAA Gent | |
|---|---|---|
| 34th | Table position | 17th |
| 0 (2) | Points (played) | 3 (2) |
| 0-0-2 | W-D-L | 1-0-1 |
| 1.00 | Goals for / game* | 0.50 |
| 3.00 | Goals against / game* | 1.00 |
| LDWLL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WWWLW |
| 1459 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1490 |
| 0.87 / 1.41 | Attack / defence index | 0.73 / 0.87 |
Table: current Conference League standings. *Conference League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
No previous meetings in the data feed.