The Coefficient6714OVRHome
F.C. København
- ATT
- 7515
- DEF
- 7114
- FRM
- 5812
- ELO
- 6012
← Match Center
F.C. København vs Iberia 1999: UEFA Conference League, Nov 5, 2026
UEFA Conference LeagueHomeF.C. København6714OVR
Kick-off 2:00 PM CT
AwayIberia 19995611OVR
Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 2:00 PM CT · Parken Stadium, Copenhagen, Denmark
Team comparison
Ratings
- 7515Attack5211
- 7114Defence6513
- 5812Form4810
- 6012Elo strength––
- 6714Overall5611
5611OVRAway
Iberia 1999
- ATT
- 5211
- DEF
- 6513
- FRM
- 4810
- ELO
- ––
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
København (10th, 4 pts from 2) host Iberia 1999 (29th, 1 pts from 2) in the Conference League table as it stands. København have scored 5 and conceded 2 in 2 Conference League games (2.5 and 1.0 per game). Iberia 1999 have scored 1 and conceded 3 in 2 Conference League games (0.5 and 1.5 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): København LWDDD, Iberia 1999 WLLLD. The goals model expects about 2.1–0.9. København are clear favorites: København 66%, draw 20%, Iberia 1999 14%. The single most likely score is 2–0, but even that only has a 12% chance. Small sample warning: one side has only 2 Conference League games this season, so these numbers lean heavily on competition averages.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): København 2.09 · Iberia 1999 0.85 · most likely score 2–0 (12%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.64 / away 1.33 goals per game from 36 Conference League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: København expected score 60%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| København | Iberia 1999 | |
|---|---|---|
| 10th | Table position | 29th |
| 4 (2) | Points (played) | 1 (2) |
| 1-1-0 | W-D-L | 0-1-1 |
| 2.50 | Goals for / game* | 0.50 |
| 1.00 | Goals against / game* | 1.50 |
| LWDDD | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WLLLD |
| 1496 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1487 |
| 1.27 / 0.87 | Attack / defence index | 0.73 / 1.00 |
Table: current Conference League standings. *Conference League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
No previous meetings in the data feed.