The Coefficient5211OVRHome
Hapoel Be'er
- ATT
- 439
- DEF
- 5912
- FRM
- 4810
- ELO
- 5712
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Hapoel Be'er vs OFI Crete: UEFA Europa League, Nov 5, 2026
UEFA Europa LeagueHomeHapoel Be'er5211OVR
Kick-off 2:00 PM CT
AwayOFI Crete5812OVR
Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 2:00 PM CT · Giulesti Stadium, Bucuresti, Romania
Team comparison
Ratings
- 439Attack5712
- 5912Defence6814
- 4810Form449
- 5712Elo strength6012
- 5211Overall5812
5812OVRAway
OFI Crete
- ATT
- 5712
- DEF
- 6814
- FRM
- 449
- ELO
- 6012
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Hapoel Be'er (30th, 1 pts from 3) host OFI Crete (26th, 3 pts from 3) in the Europa League table as it stands. Hapoel Be'er have scored 1 and conceded 6 in 3 Europa League games (0.3 and 2.0 per game). OFI Crete have scored 3 and conceded 4 in 3 Europa League games (1.0 and 1.3 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Hapoel Be'er WLDLL, OFI Crete LLLLW. The goals model expects about 0.9–1.5. OFI Crete are clear favorites: Hapoel Be'er 21%, draw 26%, OFI Crete 52%. The single most likely score is 0–1, but even that only has a 14% chance. Small sample warning: one side has only 3 Europa League games this season, so these numbers lean heavily on competition averages.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Hapoel Be'er 0.85 · OFI Crete 1.49 · most likely score 0–1 (14%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.50 / away 1.57 goals per game from 54 Europa League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Hapoel Be'er expected score 56%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Hapoel Be'er | OFI Crete | |
|---|---|---|
| 30th | Table position | 26th |
| 1 (3) | Points (played) | 3 (3) |
| 0-1-2 | W-D-L | 1-0-2 |
| 0.33 | Goals for / game* | 1.00 |
| 2.00 | Goals against / game* | 1.33 |
| WLDLL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | LLLLW |
| 1477 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1497 |
| 0.61 / 1.15 | Attack / defence index | 0.83 / 0.93 |
Table: current Europa League standings. *Europa League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
No previous meetings in the data feed.