The Coefficient5611OVRHome
Getafe
- ATT
- 6513
- DEF
- 5010
- FRM
- 5311
- ELO
- 5411
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Getafe vs Brighton & Hove Albion: UEFA Conference League, Nov 5, 2026
UEFA Conference LeagueHomeGetafe5611OVR
Kick-off 2:00 PM CT
AwayBrighton & Hove Albion7515OVR
Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 2:00 PM CT · Estadio Coliseum, Getafe, Spain
Team comparison
Ratings
- 6513Attack7114
- 5010Defence8718
- 5311Form6213
- 5411Elo strength7716
- 5611Overall7515
7515OVRAway
Brighton & Hove Albion
- ATT
- 7114
- DEF
- 8718
- FRM
- 6213
- ELO
- 7716
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Getafe (30th, 1 pts from 2) host Brighton (9th, 4 pts from 2) in the Conference League table as it stands. Getafe have scored 3 and conceded 6 in 2 Conference League games (1.5 and 3.0 per game). Brighton have scored 4 and conceded 0 in 2 Conference League games (2.0 and 0.0 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Getafe DDLLW, Brighton WDLLW. The goals model expects about 1.0–2.1. Brighton are clear favorites: Getafe 16%, draw 20%, Brighton 64%. The single most likely score is 0–2, but even that only has a 10% chance. Elo ratings (Getafe 1450, Brighton 1652) give Getafe an expected score of 31%, which agrees with the goals model. Small sample warning: one side has only 2 Conference League games this season, so these numbers lean heavily on competition averages.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Getafe 0.99 · Brighton 2.14 · most likely score 0–2 (10%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.64 / away 1.33 goals per game from 36 Conference League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Getafe expected score 31%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Getafe | Brighton | |
|---|---|---|
| 30th | Table position | 9th |
| 1 (2) | Points (played) | 4 (2) |
| 0-1-1 | W-D-L | 1-1-0 |
| 1.50 | Goals for / game* | 2.00 |
| 3.00 | Goals against / game* | 0.00 |
| DDLLW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WDLLW |
| 1450 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1652 |
| 1.00 / 1.41 | Attack / defence index | 1.14 / 0.60 |
Table: current Conference League standings. *Conference League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
No previous meetings in the data feed.