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FC Thun vs Heart of Midlothian: UEFA Conference League, Nov 5, 2026

UEFA Conference League
HomeFC Thun5511OVR
Kick-off 11:45 AM CT
AwayHeart of Midlothian5712OVR

Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 11:45 AM CT · Stockhorn Arena, Thun, Switzerland

Team comparison

Ratings

5511OVRHome

FC Thun

ATT
439
DEF
7114
FRM
4810
ELO
––
  • 439Attack5211
  • 7114Defence6513
  • 4810Form5311
  • 5511Overall5712
ATTDEFFRMELO
FC Thun Hearts
5712OVRAway

Heart of Midlothian

ATT
5211
DEF
6513
FRM
5311
ELO
––

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

FC Thun (32nd, 0 pts from 2) host Hearts (28th, 1 pts from 2) in the Conference League table as it stands. FC Thun have scored 0 and conceded 2 in 2 Conference League games (0.0 and 1.0 per game). Hearts have scored 1 and conceded 3 in 2 Conference League games (0.5 and 1.5 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): FC Thun LDWLL, Hearts DLLWD. The goals model expects about 1.0–0.9. This looks evenly matched: FC Thun 37%, draw 32%, Hearts 30%. The single most likely score is 0–0, but even that only has a 16% chance. Small sample warning: one side has only 2 Conference League games this season, so these numbers lean heavily on competition averages.

Data outlook

FC Thun winDrawHearts win

Expected goals (model): FC Thun 0.99 · Hearts 0.85 · most likely score 0–0 (16%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.64 / away 1.33 goals per game from 36 Conference League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: FC Thun expected score 57%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

FC ThunHearts
32ndTable position28th
0 (2)Points (played)1 (2)
0-0-2W-D-L0-1-1
0.00Goals for / game*0.50
1.00Goals against / game*1.50
LDWLLForm, last 5 (all comps)DLLWD
1483Elo rating (pre-match)1492
0.60 / 0.87Attack / defence index0.73 / 1.00

Table: current Conference League standings. *Conference League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

No previous meetings in the data feed.