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CSU Craiova vs Egnatia: UEFA Conference League, Nov 5, 2026

UEFA Conference League
HomeCSU Craiova6814OVR
Kick-off 2:00 PM CT
AwayEgnatia6313OVR

Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 2:00 PM CT · Stadionul Ion Oblemenco, Craiova, Romania

Team comparison

Ratings

6814OVRHome

CSU Craiova

ATT
7114
DEF
7114
FRM
6714
ELO
6012
  • 7114Attack5912
  • 7114Defence7114
  • 6714Form5812
  • 6012Elo strength––
  • 6814Overall6313
ATTDEFFRMELO
CSU Craiova Egnatia
6313OVRAway

Egnatia

ATT
5912
DEF
7114
FRM
5812
ELO
––

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

CSU Craiova (11th, 4 pts from 2) host Egnatia (20th, 2 pts from 2) in the Conference League table as it stands. CSU Craiova have scored 4 and conceded 2 in 2 Conference League games (2.0 and 1.0 per game). Egnatia have scored 2 and conceded 2 in 2 Conference League games (1.0 and 1.0 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): CSU Craiova DLWDW, Egnatia WDLDD. The goals model expects about 1.6–1.0. CSU Craiova are clear favorites: CSU Craiova 52%, draw 25%, Egnatia 24%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 12% chance. Small sample warning: one side has only 2 Conference League games this season, so these numbers lean heavily on competition averages.

Data outlook

CSU Craiova winDrawEgnatia win

Expected goals (model): CSU Craiova 1.62 · Egnatia 1.01 · most likely score 1–1 (12%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.64 / away 1.33 goals per game from 36 Conference League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: CSU Craiova expected score 59%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

CSU CraiovaEgnatia
11thTable position20th
4 (2)Points (played)2 (2)
1-1-0W-D-L0-2-0
2.00Goals for / game*1.00
1.00Goals against / game*1.00
DLWDWForm, last 5 (all comps)WDLDD
1502Elo rating (pre-match)1501
1.14 / 0.87Attack / defence index0.87 / 0.87

Table: current Conference League standings. *Conference League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

No previous meetings in the data feed.