The Coefficient5511OVRHome
Celtic
- ATT
- 5712
- DEF
- 4810
- FRM
- 6213
- ELO
- 5611
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Celtic vs Besiktas: UEFA Europa League, Nov 5, 2026
UEFA Europa LeagueHomeCeltic5511OVR
Kick-off 2:00 PM CT
AwayBesiktas7415OVR
Thursday, November 5, 2026 · 2:00 PM CT · Celtic Park, Glasgow, Scotland
Team comparison
Ratings
- 5712Attack8217
- 4810Defence6313
- 6213Form7615
- 5611Elo strength7615
- 5511Overall7415
7415OVRAway
Besiktas
- ATT
- 8217
- DEF
- 6313
- FRM
- 7615
- ELO
- 7615
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Celtic (35th, 0 pts from 3) host Besiktas (8th, 7 pts from 3) in the Europa League table as it stands. Celtic have scored 3 and conceded 9 in 3 Europa League games (1.0 and 3.0 per game). Besiktas have scored 9 and conceded 5 in 3 Europa League games (3.0 and 1.7 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Celtic LWLWD, Besiktas WWLDW. The goals model expects about 1.3–3.4. Besiktas are clear favorites: Celtic 10%, draw 12%, Besiktas 78%. The single most likely score is 1–3, but even that only has a 8% chance. Elo ratings (Celtic 1466, Besiktas 1640) give Celtic an expected score of 34%, which agrees with the goals model. Small sample warning: one side has only 3 Europa League games this season, so these numbers lean heavily on competition averages.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Celtic 1.29 · Besiktas 3.43 · most likely score 1–3 (8%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.50 / away 1.57 goals per game from 54 Europa League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Celtic expected score 34%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Celtic | Besiktas | |
|---|---|---|
| 35th | Table position | 8th |
| 0 (3) | Points (played) | 7 (3) |
| 0-0-3 | W-D-L | 2-1-0 |
| 1.00 | Goals for / game* | 3.00 |
| 3.00 | Goals against / game* | 1.67 |
| LWLWD | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WWLDW |
| 1466 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1640 |
| 0.83 / 1.48 | Attack / defence index | 1.48 / 1.04 |
Table: current Europa League standings. *Europa League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
No previous meetings in the data feed.