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Slavia Prague vs Arsenal: UEFA Champions League, Nov 4, 2026

UEFA Champions League
HomeSlavia Prague5311OVR
Kick-off 2:00 PM CT
AwayArsenal7916OVR

Wednesday, November 4, 2026 · 2:00 PM CT · Fortuna Arena, Prague, Czechia

Team comparison

Ratings

5311OVRHome

Slavia Prague

ATT
5712
DEF
6213
FRM
357
ELO
5211
  • 5712Attack6513
  • 6213Defence8317
  • 357Form7615
  • 5211Elo strength9519
  • 5311Overall7916
ATTDEFFRMELO
Slavia Prague Arsenal
7916OVRAway

Arsenal

ATT
6513
DEF
8317
FRM
7615
ELO
9519

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Slavia Prague (32nd, 1 pts from 3) host Arsenal (7th, 7 pts from 3) in the Champions League table as it stands. Slavia Prague have scored 4 and conceded 7 in 3 Champions League games (1.3 and 2.3 per game). Arsenal have scored 6 and conceded 2 in 3 Champions League games (2.0 and 0.7 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Slavia Prague LLLLD, Arsenal WWDWL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Slavia Prague won 0, Arsenal won 3 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.4–1.7. Arsenal are slight favorites: Slavia Prague 31%, draw 24%, Arsenal 45%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 11% chance. Elo ratings (Slavia Prague 1429, Arsenal 1812) give Slavia Prague an expected score of 13%, which agrees with the goals model. Small sample warning: one side has only 3 Champions League games this season, so these numbers lean heavily on competition averages.

Data outlook

Slavia Prague winDrawArsenal win

Expected goals (model): Slavia Prague 1.37 · Arsenal 1.69 · most likely score 1–1 (11%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 2.50 / away 1.59 goals per game from 54 Champions League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Slavia Prague expected score 13%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

Slavia PragueArsenal
32ndTable position7th
1 (3)Points (played)7 (3)
0-1-2W-D-L2-1-0
1.33Goals for / game*2.00
2.33Goals against / game*0.67
LLLLDForm, last 5 (all comps)WWDWL
1429Elo rating (pre-match)1812
0.83 / 1.07Attack / defence index0.99 / 0.66

Table: current Champions League standings. *Champions League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Slavia Prague 0 wins · 2 draws · Arsenal 3 wins

  • Slavia Prague 0–3 Arsenal
  • Slavia Prague 0–4 Arsenal
  • Arsenal 1–1 Slavia Prague
  • Slavia Prague 0–0 Arsenal
  • Arsenal 7–0 Slavia Prague