The Coefficient6714OVRHome
Stade Rennais
- ATT
- 6213
- DEF
- 7315
- FRM
- 6213
- ELO
- 6914
← Match Center
Stade Rennais vs Olympiacos: UEFA Europa League, Nov 4, 2026
UEFA Europa LeagueHomeStade Rennais6714OVR
Kick-off 9:30 AM CT
AwayOlympiacos7816OVR
Wednesday, November 4, 2026 · 9:30 AM CT · Roazhon Park, Rennes, France
Team comparison
Ratings
- 6213Attack6213
- 7315Defence8718
- 6213Form9920
- 6914Elo strength6613
- 6714Overall7816
7816OVRAway
Olympiacos
- ATT
- 6213
- DEF
- 8718
- FRM
- 9920
- ELO
- 6613
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Rennes (13th, 5 pts from 3) host Olympiacos (5th, 9 pts from 3) in the Europa League table as it stands. Rennes have scored 4 and conceded 3 in 3 Europa League games (1.3 and 1.0 per game). Olympiacos have scored 4 and conceded 1 in 3 Europa League games (1.3 and 0.3 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Rennes WLDWL, Olympiacos WWWWW. The goals model expects about 0.9–1.2. Olympiacos are slight favorites: Rennes 26%, draw 30%, Olympiacos 44%. The single most likely score is 0–1, but even that only has a 15% chance. Elo ratings (Rennes 1584, Olympiacos 1553) give Rennes an expected score of 63%, which disagrees with the goals model. Small sample warning: one side has only 3 Europa League games this season, so these numbers lean heavily on competition averages.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Rennes 0.85 · Olympiacos 1.21 · most likely score 0–1 (15%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.50 / away 1.57 goals per game from 54 Europa League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Rennes expected score 63%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Rennes | Olympiacos | |
|---|---|---|
| 13th | Table position | 5th |
| 5 (3) | Points (played) | 9 (3) |
| 1-2-0 | W-D-L | 3-0-0 |
| 1.33 | Goals for / game* | 1.33 |
| 1.00 | Goals against / game* | 0.33 |
| WLDWL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | WWWWW |
| 1584 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1553 |
| 0.93 / 0.83 | Attack / defence index | 0.93 / 0.61 |
Table: current Europa League standings. *Europa League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
No previous meetings in the data feed.