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PSV Eindhoven vs Club Brugge: UEFA Champions League, Nov 4, 2026

UEFA Champions League
HomePSV Eindhoven6814OVR
Kick-off 2:00 PM CT
AwayClub Brugge7415OVR

Wednesday, November 4, 2026 · 2:00 PM CT · Philips Stadion, Eindhoven, Netherlands

Team comparison

Ratings

6814OVRHome

PSV Eindhoven

ATT
479
DEF
8317
FRM
6213
ELO
8317
  • 479Attack7415
  • 8317Defence6513
  • 6213Form9920
  • 8317Elo strength6413
  • 6814Overall7415
ATTDEFFRMELO
PSV Club Brugge
7415OVRAway

Club Brugge

ATT
7415
DEF
6513
FRM
9920
ELO
6413

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

PSV (18th, 4 pts from 3) host Club Brugge (11th, 6 pts from 3) in the Champions League table as it stands. PSV have scored 2 and conceded 2 in 3 Champions League games (0.7 and 0.7 per game). Club Brugge have scored 9 and conceded 6 in 3 Champions League games (3.0 and 2.0 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): PSV LLWDW, Club Brugge WWWWW. In the last 3 meetings on record, PSV won 1, Club Brugge won 1 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.6–1.3. PSV are slight favorites: PSV 45%, draw 24%, Club Brugge 30%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 11% chance. Elo ratings (PSV 1709, Club Brugge 1537) give PSV an expected score of 79%, which agrees with the goals model. Small sample warning: one side has only 3 Champions League games this season, so these numbers lean heavily on competition averages.

Data outlook

PSV winDrawClub Brugge win

Expected goals (model): PSV 1.64 · Club Brugge 1.30 · most likely score 1–1 (11%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 2.50 / away 1.59 goals per game from 54 Champions League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: PSV expected score 79%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

PSVClub Brugge
18thTable position11th
4 (3)Points (played)6 (3)
1-1-1W-D-L2-0-1
0.67Goals for / game*3.00
0.67Goals against / game*2.00
LLWDWForm, last 5 (all comps)WWWWW
1709Elo rating (pre-match)1537
0.66 / 0.66Attack / defence index1.23 / 0.99

Table: current Champions League standings. *Champions League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

PSV 1 win · 1 draw · Club Brugge 1 win

  • PSV Eindhoven 1–1 Club Brugge
  • PSV Eindhoven 1–2 Club Brugge
  • PSV Eindhoven 2–1 Club Brugge