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Shakhtar Donetsk vs Sporting CP: UEFA Champions League, Nov 3, 2026

UEFA Champions League
HomeShakhtar Donetsk6613OVR
Kick-off 11:45 AM CT
AwaySporting CP7415OVR

Tuesday, November 3, 2026 · 11:45 AM CT · Stamford Bridge, London, England

Team comparison

Ratings

6613OVRHome

Shakhtar Donetsk

ATT
5712
DEF
7816
FRM
6213
ELO
6513
  • 5712Attack6814
  • 7816Defence7315
  • 6213Form7114
  • 6513Elo strength8617
  • 6613Overall7415
ATTDEFFRMELO
Shakhtar Sporting
7415OVRAway

Sporting CP

ATT
6814
DEF
7315
FRM
7114
ELO
8617

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Shakhtar (17th, 4 pts from 3) host Sporting (12th, 6 pts from 3) in the Champions League table as it stands. Shakhtar have scored 4 and conceded 3 in 3 Champions League games (1.3 and 1.0 per game). Sporting have scored 7 and conceded 4 in 3 Champions League games (2.3 and 1.3 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Shakhtar LDWWL, Sporting WWLLW. In the last 2 meetings on record, Shakhtar won 0, Sporting won 2 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.7–1.3. Shakhtar are slight favorites: Shakhtar 48%, draw 24%, Sporting 29%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 11% chance. Elo ratings (Shakhtar 1546, Sporting 1735) give Shakhtar an expected score of 32%, which disagrees with the goals model. Small sample warning: one side has only 3 Champions League games this season, so these numbers lean heavily on competition averages.

Data outlook

Shakhtar winDrawSporting win

Expected goals (model): Shakhtar 1.70 · Sporting 1.27 · most likely score 1–1 (11%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 2.50 / away 1.59 goals per game from 54 Champions League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Shakhtar expected score 32%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

ShakhtarSporting
17thTable position12th
4 (3)Points (played)6 (3)
1-1-1W-D-L2-0-1
1.33Goals for / game*2.33
1.00Goals against / game*1.33
LDWWLForm, last 5 (all comps)WWLLW
1546Elo rating (pre-match)1735
0.83 / 0.74Attack / defence index1.07 / 0.83

Table: current Champions League standings. *Champions League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Shakhtar 0 wins · 0 draws · Sporting 2 wins

  • Sporting CP 1–0 Shakhtar Donetsk
  • Shakhtar Donetsk 0–1 Sporting CP