The Coefficient7014OVRHome
Galatasaray
- ATT
- 6513
- DEF
- 5611
- FRM
- 8517
- ELO
- 8217
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Galatasaray vs VfB Stuttgart: UEFA Champions League, Nov 3, 2026
UEFA Champions LeagueHomeGalatasaray7014OVR
Kick-off 11:45 AM CT
AwayVfB Stuttgart7215OVR
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 · 11:45 AM CT · RAMS Park, Istanbul, Türkiye
Team comparison
Ratings
- 6513Attack6814
- 5611Defence8317
- 8517Form6213
- 8217Elo strength7315
- 7014Overall7215
7215OVRAway
VfB Stuttgart
- ATT
- 6814
- DEF
- 8317
- FRM
- 6213
- ELO
- 7315
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Galatasaray (23rd, 3 pts from 3) host Stuttgart (6th, 7 pts from 3) in the Champions League table as it stands. Galatasaray have scored 6 and conceded 9 in 3 Champions League games (2.0 and 3.0 per game). Stuttgart have scored 7 and conceded 2 in 3 Champions League games (2.3 and 0.7 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Galatasaray LWWWW, Stuttgart LDLWW. The goals model expects about 1.6–2.1. Stuttgart are slight favorites: Galatasaray 30%, draw 21%, Stuttgart 49%. The single most likely score is 1–2, but even that only has a 9% chance. Elo ratings (Galatasaray 1695, Stuttgart 1614) give Galatasaray an expected score of 69%, which disagrees with the goals model. Small sample warning: one side has only 3 Champions League games this season, so these numbers lean heavily on competition averages.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Galatasaray 1.64 · Stuttgart 2.10 · most likely score 1–2 (9%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 2.50 / away 1.59 goals per game from 54 Champions League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Galatasaray expected score 69%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Galatasaray | Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| 23rd | Table position | 6th |
| 3 (3) | Points (played) | 7 (3) |
| 1-0-2 | W-D-L | 2-1-0 |
| 2.00 | Goals for / game* | 2.33 |
| 3.00 | Goals against / game* | 0.67 |
| LWWWW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | LDLWW |
| 1695 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1614 |
| 0.99 / 1.23 | Attack / defence index | 1.07 / 0.66 |
Table: current Champions League standings. *Champions League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
No previous meetings in the data feed.