The Coefficient6213OVRHome
Bodo/Glimt
- ATT
- 5712
- DEF
- 5611
- FRM
- 7114
- ELO
- 6714
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Bodo/Glimt vs Lille: UEFA Champions League, Nov 3, 2026
UEFA Champions LeagueHomeBodo/Glimt6213OVR
Kick-off 2:00 PM CT
AwayLille5712OVR
Tuesday, November 3, 2026 · 2:00 PM CT · Aspmyra Stadion, Bodø/Glimt, Norway
Team comparison
Ratings
- 5712Attack5712
- 5611Defence5311
- 7114Form5311
- 6714Elo strength6814
- 6213Overall5712
5712OVRAway
Lille
- ATT
- 5712
- DEF
- 5311
- FRM
- 5311
- ELO
- 6814
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Bodo/Glimt (28th, 3 pts from 3) host Lille (35th, 0 pts from 3) in the Champions League table as it stands. Bodo/Glimt have scored 4 and conceded 9 in 3 Champions League games (1.3 and 3.0 per game). Lille have scored 4 and conceded 10 in 3 Champions League games (1.3 and 3.3 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Bodo/Glimt WWLLW, Lille LDLDW. The goals model expects about 2.7–1.6. Bodo/Glimt are clear favorites: Bodo/Glimt 61%, draw 18%, Lille 22%. The single most likely score is 2–1, but even that only has a 8% chance. Elo ratings (Bodo/Glimt 1565, Lille 1576) give Bodo/Glimt an expected score of 57%, which agrees with the goals model. Small sample warning: one side has only 3 Champions League games this season, so these numbers lean heavily on competition averages.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Bodo/Glimt 2.71 · Lille 1.62 · most likely score 2–1 (8%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 2.50 / away 1.59 goals per game from 54 Champions League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Bodo/Glimt expected score 57%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Bodo/Glimt | Lille | |
|---|---|---|
| 28th | Table position | 35th |
| 3 (3) | Points (played) | 0 (3) |
| 1-0-2 | W-D-L | 0-0-3 |
| 1.33 | Goals for / game* | 1.33 |
| 3.00 | Goals against / game* | 3.33 |
| WWLLW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | LDLDW |
| 1565 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1576 |
| 0.83 / 1.23 | Attack / defence index | 0.83 / 1.31 |
Table: current Champions League standings. *Champions League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
No previous meetings in the data feed.