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Newcastle United vs Everton: Premier League, Nov 2, 2026

Premier League
HomeNewcastle United6213OVR
Kick-off 2:00 PM CT
AwayEverton6313OVR

Monday, November 2, 2026 · 2:00 PM CT · St. James' Park, Newcastle-upon-Tyne, England

Team comparison

Ratings

6213OVRHome

Newcastle United

ATT
6814
DEF
5712
FRM
5812
ELO
6714
  • 6814Attack5611
  • 5712Defence7114
  • 5812Form6213
  • 6714Elo strength6313
  • 6213Overall6313
ATTDEFFRMELO
Newcastle Everton
6313OVRAway

Everton

ATT
5611
DEF
7114
FRM
6213
ELO
6313

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Newcastle (12th, 11 pts from 8) host Everton (14th, 10 pts from 8) in the Premier League table as it stands. Newcastle have scored 12 and conceded 14 in 8 Premier League games (1.5 and 1.8 per game). Everton have scored 8 and conceded 9 in 8 Premier League games (1.0 and 1.1 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Newcastle WLLWL, Everton WDLLW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Newcastle won 1, Everton won 4 and 0 were drawn. The goals model expects about 1.4–1.2. Newcastle are slight favorites: Newcastle 43%, draw 26%, Everton 31%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 12% chance. Elo ratings (Newcastle 1565, Everton 1525) give Newcastle an expected score of 64%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

Newcastle winDrawEverton win

Expected goals (model): Newcastle 1.43 · Everton 1.16 · most likely score 1–1 (12%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.53 / away 1.20 goals per game from 88 Premier League games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Newcastle expected score 64%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

NewcastleEverton
12thTable position14th
11 (8)Points (played)10 (8)
3-2-3W-D-L2-4-2
1.50Goals for / game*1.00
1.75Goals against / game*1.12
WLLWLForm, last 5 (all comps)WDLLW
1565Elo rating (pre-match)1525
1.07 / 1.20Attack / defence index0.80 / 0.87

Table: current Premier League standings. *Premier League games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Newcastle 1 win · 0 draws · Everton 4 wins

  • Everton 3–1 Newcastle United
  • Newcastle United 1–3 Everton
  • Newcastle United 2–3 Everton
  • Everton 1–4 Newcastle United
  • Newcastle United 0–1 Everton