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Gil Vicente vs Vitória de Guimaraes: Primeira Liga, Nov 2, 2026

Primeira Liga
HomeGil Vicente6814OVR
Kick-off 2:15 PM CT
AwayVitória de Guimaraes6213OVR

Monday, November 2, 2026 · 2:15 PM CT · Estádio Cidade de Barcelos, Barcelos, Portugal

Team comparison

Ratings

6814OVRHome

Gil Vicente

ATT
5211
DEF
8217
FRM
7615
ELO
6112
  • 5211Attack5812
  • 8217Defence7215
  • 7615Form6213
  • 6112Elo strength5511
  • 6814Overall6213
ATTDEFFRMELO
Gil Vicente Vitória
6213OVRAway

Vitória de Guimaraes

ATT
5812
DEF
7215
FRM
6213
ELO
5511

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Gil Vicente (7th, 14 pts from 9) host Vitória (13th, 8 pts from 9) in the Primeira Liga table as it stands. Gil Vicente have scored 8 and conceded 7 in 9 Primeira Liga games (0.9 and 0.8 per game). Vitória have scored 10 and conceded 10 in 9 Primeira Liga games (1.1 and 1.1 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Gil Vicente DWWWL, Vitória LDLWW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Gil Vicente won 0, Vitória won 4 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 0.8–0.8. This looks evenly matched: Gil Vicente 32%, draw 35%, Vitória 33%. The single most likely score is 0–0, but even that only has a 19% chance. Elo ratings (Gil Vicente 1507, Vitória 1451) give Gil Vicente an expected score of 66%, which disagrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

Gil Vicente winDrawVitória win

Expected goals (model): Gil Vicente 0.82 · Vitória 0.84 · most likely score 0–0 (19%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.30 / away 1.45 goals per game from 84 Primeira Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Gil Vicente expected score 66%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

Gil VicenteVitória
7thTable position13th
14 (9)Points (played)8 (9)
4-2-3W-D-L2-2-5
0.89Goals for / game*1.11
0.78Goals against / game*1.11
DWWWLForm, last 5 (all comps)LDLWW
1507Elo rating (pre-match)1451
0.73 / 0.67Attack / defence index0.86 / 0.86

Table: current Primeira Liga standings. *Primeira Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Gil Vicente 0 wins · 1 draw · Vitória 4 wins

  • Gil Vicente 0–1 Vitória de Guimaraes
  • Vitória de Guimaraes 0–0 Gil Vicente
  • Gil Vicente 0–1 Vitória de Guimaraes
  • Vitória de Guimaraes 4–0 Gil Vicente
  • Vitória de Guimaraes 3–1 Gil Vicente