The Coefficient4810OVRHome
Genclerbirligi
- ATT
- 479
- DEF
- 5411
- FRM
- 357
- ELO
- 5311
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Genclerbirligi vs Alanyaspor: Turkish Süper Lig, Nov 2, 2026
Turkish Süper LigHomeGenclerbirligi4810OVR
Kick-off 11:00 AM CT
AwayAlanyaspor5912OVR
Monday, November 2, 2026 · 11:00 AM CT · Eryaman Stadium, Ankara, Türkiye
Team comparison
Ratings
- 479Attack5411
- 5411Defence7014
- 357Form5311
- 5311Elo strength5812
- 4810Overall5912
5912OVRAway
Alanyaspor
- ATT
- 5411
- DEF
- 7014
- FRM
- 5311
- ELO
- 5812
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Genclerbirli (16th, 8 pts from 9) host Alanyaspor (11th, 12 pts from 9) in the Süper Lig table as it stands. Genclerbirli have scored 7 and conceded 18 in 9 Süper Lig games (0.8 and 2.0 per game). Alanyaspor have scored 9 and conceded 11 in 9 Süper Lig games (1.0 and 1.2 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Genclerbirli LLDLL, Alanyaspor DWDLL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Genclerbirli won 3, Alanyaspor won 0 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 0.9–1.3. Alanyaspor are slight favorites: Genclerbirli 27%, draw 29%, Alanyaspor 44%. The single most likely score is 0–1, but even that only has a 14% chance. Elo ratings (Genclerbirli 1434, Alanyaspor 1479) give Genclerbirli an expected score of 52%, which disagrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Genclerbirli 0.93 · Alanyaspor 1.27 · most likely score 0–1 (14%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.61 / away 1.28 goals per game from 85 Süper Lig games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Genclerbirli expected score 52%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Genclerbirli | Alanyaspor | |
|---|---|---|
| 16th | Table position | 11th |
| 8 (9) | Points (played) | 12 (9) |
| 2-2-5 | W-D-L | 3-3-3 |
| 0.78 | Goals for / game* | 1.00 |
| 2.00 | Goals against / game* | 1.22 |
| LLDLL | Form, last 5 (all comps) | DWDLL |
| 1434 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1479 |
| 0.65 / 1.29 | Attack / defence index | 0.77 / 0.88 |
Table: current Süper Lig standings. *Süper Lig games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Genclerbirli 3 wins · 2 draws · Alanyaspor 0 wins
- Alanyaspor 0–0 Genclerbirligi
- Genclerbirligi 2–2 Alanyaspor
- Alanyaspor 1–2 Genclerbirligi
- Genclerbirligi 2–1 Alanyaspor
- Alanyaspor 0–1 Genclerbirligi