The Coefficient6213OVRHome
Deportivo
- ATT
- 6012
- DEF
- 7014
- FRM
- 5311
- ELO
- 6012
← Match Center
Deportivo vs Osasuna: La Liga, Nov 2, 2026
La LigaHomeDeportivo6213OVR
Kick-off 2:00 PM CT
AwayOsasuna5511OVR
Monday, November 2, 2026 · 2:00 PM CT · Riazor, La Coruña, Spain
Team comparison
Ratings
- 6012Attack5211
- 7014Defence5511
- 5311Form6213
- 6012Elo strength5411
- 6213Overall5511
5511OVRAway
Osasuna
- ATT
- 5211
- DEF
- 5511
- FRM
- 6213
- ELO
- 5411
Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Who wins?
Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.
Pre-game analysis
Deportivo (12th, 11 pts from 10) host Osasuna (14th, 11 pts from 10) in the La Liga table as it stands. Deportivo have scored 13 and conceded 13 in 10 La Liga games (1.3 and 1.3 per game). Osasuna have scored 10 and conceded 20 in 10 La Liga games (1.0 and 2.0 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Deportivo DLDLW, Osasuna DLWLW. In the last 5 meetings on record, Deportivo won 2, Osasuna won 2 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.9–0.9. Deportivo are clear favorites: Deportivo 62%, draw 22%, Osasuna 16%. The single most likely score is 1–0, but even that only has a 12% chance. Elo ratings (Deportivo 1498, Osasuna 1443) give Deportivo an expected score of 66%, which agrees with the goals model.
Data outlook
Expected goals (model): Deportivo 1.92 · Osasuna 0.86 · most likely score 1–0 (12%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.72 / away 1.30 goals per game from 104 La Liga games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Deportivo expected score 66%. Full method.
Educational analysis, not betting advice.
Key numbers
| Deportivo | Osasuna | |
|---|---|---|
| 12th | Table position | 14th |
| 11 (10) | Points (played) | 11 (10) |
| 2-5-3 | W-D-L | 3-2-5 |
| 1.30 | Goals for / game* | 1.00 |
| 1.30 | Goals against / game* | 2.00 |
| DLDLW | Form, last 5 (all comps) | DLWLW |
| 1498 | Elo rating (pre-match) | 1443 |
| 0.89 / 0.89 | Attack / defence index | 0.74 / 1.25 |
Table: current La Liga standings. *La Liga games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).
Head-to-head
Deportivo 2 wins · 1 draw · Osasuna 2 wins
- Deportivo 1–2 Osasuna
- Osasuna 2–1 Deportivo
- Deportivo 2–0 Osasuna
- Osasuna 2–2 Deportivo
- Deportivo 2–0 Osasuna