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Trabzonspor vs Gaziantep FK: Turkish Süper Lig, Nov 1, 2026

Turkish Süper Lig
HomeTrabzonspor8517OVR
Kick-off 7:00 AM CT
AwayGaziantep FK5110OVR

Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 7:00 AM CT · Papara Park, Trabzon, Türkiye

Team comparison

Ratings

8517OVRHome

Trabzonspor

ATT
8317
DEF
8016
FRM
9920
ELO
8016
  • 8317Attack5411
  • 8016Defence6012
  • 9920Form357
  • 8016Elo strength5010
  • 8517Overall5110
ATTDEFFRMELO
Trabzonspor Gaziantep
5110OVRAway

Gaziantep FK

ATT
5411
DEF
6012
FRM
357
ELO
5010

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Trabzonspor (3rd, 19 pts from 9) host Gaziantep (14th, 8 pts from 9) in the Süper Lig table as it stands. Trabzonspor have scored 22 and conceded 8 in 9 Süper Lig games (2.4 and 0.9 per game). Gaziantep have scored 9 and conceded 15 in 9 Süper Lig games (1.0 and 1.7 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Trabzonspor WWWWW, Gaziantep DLLLL. In the last 5 meetings on record, Trabzonspor won 3, Gaziantep won 0 and 2 were drawn. The goals model expects about 2.7–0.7. Trabzonspor are clear favorites: Trabzonspor 80%, draw 13%, Gaziantep 7%. The single most likely score is 2–0, but even that only has a 12% chance. Elo ratings (Trabzonspor 1678, Gaziantep 1411) give Trabzonspor an expected score of 87%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

Trabzonspor winDrawGaziantep win

Expected goals (model): Trabzonspor 2.72 · Gaziantep 0.70 · most likely score 2–0 (12%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.61 / away 1.28 goals per game from 85 Süper Lig games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Trabzonspor expected score 87%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

TrabzonsporGaziantep
3rdTable position14th
19 (9)Points (played)8 (9)
6-1-2W-D-L2-2-5
2.44Goals for / game*1.00
0.89Goals against / game*1.67
WWWWWForm, last 5 (all comps)DLLLL
1678Elo rating (pre-match)1411
1.52 / 0.71Attack / defence index0.77 / 1.11

Table: current Süper Lig standings. *Süper Lig games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Trabzonspor 3 wins · 2 draws · Gaziantep 0 wins

  • Gaziantep FK 1–2 Trabzonspor
  • Trabzonspor 1–1 Gaziantep FK
  • Trabzonspor 3–2 Gaziantep FK
  • Gaziantep FK 0–0 Trabzonspor
  • Trabzonspor 4–2 Gaziantep FK