The Coefficient
EN – Language: English
← Match Center

Telstar vs FC Utrecht: Eredivisie, Nov 1, 2026

Eredivisie
HomeTelstar5110OVR
Kick-off 7:30 AM CT
AwayFC Utrecht6213OVR

Sunday, November 1, 2026 · 7:30 AM CT · 711 Stadion, Velsen-Zuid, Netherlands

Team comparison

Ratings

5110OVRHome

Telstar

ATT
5110
DEF
6112
FRM
357
ELO
5311
  • 5110Attack6213
  • 6112Defence5211
  • 357Form7615
  • 5311Elo strength6213
  • 5110Overall6213
ATTDEFFRMELO
Telstar FC Utrecht
6213OVRAway

FC Utrecht

ATT
6213
DEF
5211
FRM
7615
ELO
6213

Ratings are our own 0-99 scale, built only from results data: ATT = 65 + 30 × log2(attack index), DEF = 65 − 30 × log2(defence index) (index 1.00 = competition average), FRM = 30 + 69 × points from the last 5 games ÷ 15, ELO = 60 + (Elo − 1500) ÷ 9, OVR = 30% ATT + 30% DEF + 20% FRM + 20% ELO. Each is capped to 1-99. The Manager style shows the same numbers on a 1-20 scale (rating ÷ 99 × 20). Ratings use only games before kick-off. Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Who wins?

Pick before kick-off. Just for fun: no account, no money, saved only in this browser.

Pre-game analysis

Telstar (16th, 6 pts from 10) host FC Utrecht (11th, 12 pts from 10) in the Eredivisie table as it stands. Telstar have scored 12 and conceded 21 in 10 Eredivisie games (1.2 and 2.1 per game). FC Utrecht have scored 17 and conceded 27 in 10 Eredivisie games (1.7 and 2.7 per game). Recent form across all competitions (oldest to newest): Telstar LDLLL, FC Utrecht LWWDW. In the last 2 meetings on record, Telstar won 0, FC Utrecht won 1 and 1 was drawn. The goals model expects about 1.7–2.0. FC Utrecht are slight favorites: Telstar 35%, draw 21%, FC Utrecht 44%. The single most likely score is 1–1, but even that only has a 8% chance. Elo ratings (Telstar 1438, FC Utrecht 1519) give Telstar an expected score of 47%, which agrees with the goals model.

Data outlook

Telstar winDrawFC Utrecht win

Expected goals (model): Telstar 1.75 · FC Utrecht 1.97 · most likely score 1–1 (8%).
Method: Poisson. Baseline home 1.81 / away 1.95 goals per game from 95 Eredivisie games (this season). Expected goals = baseline × attack × opponent defence. Elo cross-check: Telstar expected score 47%. Full method.

Educational analysis, not betting advice.

Key numbers

TelstarFC Utrecht
16thTable position11th
6 (10)Points (played)12 (10)
1-3-6W-D-L3-3-4
1.20Goals for / game*1.70
2.10Goals against / game*2.70
LDLLLForm, last 5 (all comps)LWWDW
1438Elo rating (pre-match)1519
0.72 / 1.09Attack / defence index0.93 / 1.34

Table: current Eredivisie standings. *Eredivisie games this season before kick-off. Index: 1.00 = competition average (attack: higher is better; defence: lower is better).

Head-to-head

Telstar 0 wins · 1 draw · FC Utrecht 1 win

  • FC Utrecht 4–1 Telstar
  • Telstar 1–1 FC Utrecht